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Toluca — Atlas, 12 September 2026, 23:05 UTC : score 5:2

match finished Liga MX · Matchday 8 Saturday 12 September · 23:05 UTC
Toluca Toluca 1th · 19 pts DLWWW
5 : 2 1st half 3:0
Atlas 9th · 13 pts WDLDL Atlas
venue to be confirmed · referee M. Chavez
Match predictionValue

Toluca to score

90% · Toluca average 2.3 goals per game

Prediction landed. We predicted “Toluca to score”, and the match finished 5:2.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Toluca 54% draw 22% Atlas 24%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Toluca win, and the match finished 5:2. Fans backed Toluca win — they got it right.

fans 35 votes
Toluca 69% draw 11% Atlas 20%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
A. Vega penalty 1-0 19'
J. Angulo assist: N. Castro 2-0 22'
M. Capasso 24'
F. Vinas assist: Bruno Mendez 3-0 29'
S. Hernandez for P. Ramirez 46'
Paulinho for F. Vinas 46'
Duk for A. Gonzalez 46'
F. Monzon assist: L. Esteves 3-1 51'
Paulinho assist: J. Angulo 4-1 53'
Helinho 57'
M. Valenzuela 57'
E. del Villar for Helinho 58'
J. Rodriguez own goal 5-1 60'
E. Montiel for J. Sanchez 62'
P. Perez for N. Castro 72'
V. Guzman for J. Angulo 72'
Duk 5-2 79'
J. Serrato for L. Esteves 80'
J. Serrato 81'
Luan for A. Vega 85'
A. Mora for M. Capasso 89'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Toluca Toluca 4-1-4-1 · Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio 5-4-1 · Hernan Crespo Atlas Atlas
12 Ronaldo Beltran
2 Diego Barbosa 4 Bruno Méndez 6 Federico Pereira 20 Jesús Gallardo
5 Franco Romero
11 Helinho 8 Nicolás Castro 10 Jesús Ricardo Angulo 9 Alexis Vega
16 Federico Viñas
9 Florián Monzón
58 Arturo González 27 Victor Rios 15 Paulo Ramírez 10 Luís Esteves
3 Jorge Sánchez 13 Gaddi Aguirre 28 Manuel Capasso 16 Milton Valenzuela 5 Jorge Rodríguez
12 Camilo Vargas
Toluca bench
  1. 3Antonio Briseño
  2. 18David Shrem
  3. 25Everardo López
  4. 24Fernando Arce Juárez
  5. 13Luan
  6. 23Oswaldo Virgen
  7. 26Paulinho
  8. 15Pavel Pérez
  9. 184Sebastian Aceves
  10. 7Víctor Guzmán
Atlas bench
  1. 4Adrián Mora
  2. 22Antonio Sánchez
  3. 11Duk
  4. 18Elías Montiel
  5. 192Jesús Serrato
  6. 17Jose Lozano
  7. 203Jose Martin
  8. 44Juan José Purata
  9. 251Luis Gamboa
  10. 23Sergio Hernandez

Match stats

14 metrics for the full match
54%Possession46%
14Shots10
6Shots on target2
5Shots off target5
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box4
6Corners7
3Offsides0
11Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Saves2
456Passes386
392Accurate passes316
TolucaTolucaAtlasAtlasThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Toluca and Atlas met on matchday 8 of the Liga MX on 12 September. Final score — 5:2.

Toluca sit 1th on 19 points after 10 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), 4 matches without conceding. Atlas sit 9th on 13 points after 10 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses).

Of the last 2 meetings Toluca won 0, Atlas won 0, with 2 more meetings drawn. Aggregate score — 1:1.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Toluca Toluca last five Atlas Atlas
DLWWW form WDLDL
10 Matches 10
6 — 2 — 2 Wins — draws — defeats 5 — 2 — 3
23 — 12 Scored — conceded 16 — 17
2 Points per game 1.7
2.3 Goals scored per game 1.6
4 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 2

Toluca at home: 5 matches, 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, goals 15—8, 1.8 points per match.

Atlas away: 5 matches, 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 11—9, 2.4 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
0 Toluca wins 2 draws 0 Atlas wins goals 1:1 Toluca — Atlas
15/03/2026 Toluca — Atlas 1:1 Liga MX
01/11/2025 Atlas — Toluca 0:0 Liga MX