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Toluca — Monterrey, 8 November 2026, 01:00 UTC : score 4:0

match finished Liga MX · Matchday 16 Sunday 8 November · 01:00 UTC
venue to be confirmed · referee Daniel Quintero Huitrón, Mexico
Match predictionSafe

Toluca to score

91% · Both teams scored in 11 of 16 Toluca games

Prediction landed. We predicted “Toluca to score”, and the match finished 4:0.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Toluca 57% draw 18% Monterrey 25%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Toluca win, and the match finished 4:0. Fans backed Toluca win — they got it right.

fans 62 votes
Toluca 65% draw 8% Monterrey 27%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
N. Castro assist: B. A. Garcia Caprizo 1-0 8'
Paulinho assist: N. Castro 2-0 23'
C. Garza 48'
Paulinho assist: Helinho 3-0 51'
L. Ocampos 54'
Helinho 54'
O. Pineda 54'
I. Fimbres for H. Cuypers 57'
E. Aguirre for O. Pineda 57'
A. De Nigris for R. Chavez 57'
O. Torres 59'
C. Salcedo 61'
S. Medina for O. Torres 64'
F. Ambriz for L. Ocampos 64'
F. Vinas for Helinho 69'
J. Angulo for A. Vega 69'
F. Ambriz 71'
F. Arce for F. Romero 76'
V. Guzman for E. Gutierrez 76'
P. Perez for Paulinho 84'
J. Gallardo assist: F. Vinas 4-0 90'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Toluca Toluca 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 Monterrey Monterrey
1 Hugo Gonzalez
17 Brian García 13 Luan 25 Everardo López 20 Jesús Gallardo
11 Helinho 5 Franco Romero 35 Érick Gutiérrez 8 Nicolás Castro
26 Paulinho 9 Alexis Vega
99 Hugo Cuypers
18 Cesar Garza 9 Diego Rossi 7 Lucas Ocampos
8 Óliver Torres 25 Orbelín Pineda
2 Ricardo Chávez 4 Victor Guzmán 13 Carlos Salcedo 3 Gerardo Arteaga
1 Esteban Andrada
Toluca bench
  1. 3Antonio Briseño
  2. 2Diego Barbosa
  3. 16Federico Viñas
  4. 24Fernando Arce Juárez
  5. 10Jesús Ricardo Angulo
  6. 29Jorge Díaz
  7. 22Luis García
  8. 15Pavel Pérez
  9. 19Santiago Simón
  10. 7Víctor Guzmán
Monterrey bench
  1. 203Aldo De Nigris
  2. 5Fidel Ambríz
  3. 11Iker Fimbres
  4. 17Jesús Corona
  5. 30Jorge Rodríguez
  6. 22Luis Cárdenas
  7. 21Luis Reyes
  8. 27Roberto de la Rosa
  9. 33Stefan Medina
  10. 14Érick Aguirre

Match stats

21 metrics for the full match
62%Possession38%
10Shots7
7Shots on target2
1Shots off target3
2Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box4
3Shots outside box3
76Attacks59
25Dangerous attacks28
6Corners6
2Offsides1
9Fouls12
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
2Saves3
496Passes299
435Accurate passes230
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
TolucaTolucaMonterreyMonterreyThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Toluca and Monterrey met on matchday 16 of the Liga MX on 8 November. Final score — 4:0.

Toluca sit 4th on 27 points after 16 matches (7 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses), unbeaten in 5 matches, 5 matches without conceding. Monterrey sit 10th on 21 points after 15 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses), winless in 3 matches, 3 matches without conceding.

Of the last 4 meetings Toluca won 3, Monterrey won 1. Aggregate score — 10:5.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Toluca Toluca last five Monterrey Monterrey
WDDDD form LDLWW
16 Matches 15
7 — 6 — 3 Wins — draws — defeats 6 — 3 — 6
35 — 21 Scored — conceded 26 — 25
1.69 Points per game 1.4
2.19 Goals scored per game 1.73
5 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 4
unbeaten in 5 Current streak winless in 3

Toluca at home: 8 matches, 4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, goals 22—11, 1.75 points per match.

Monterrey away: 7 matches, 2 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, goals 10—14, 1 points per match.

Head-to-head

4 matches in our database
3 Toluca wins 0 draws 1 Monterrey win goals 10:5 Toluca — Monterrey
11/01/2026 Monterrey — Toluca 0:1 Liga MX
07/12/2025 Toluca — Monterrey 3:2 Liga MX
04/12/2025 Monterrey — Toluca 1:0 Liga MX
25/09/2025 Toluca — Monterrey 6:2 Liga MX

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3GuadalajaraGuadalajara1585225—1429
4TolucaToluca1676335—2127
5AtlasAtlas1683527—3027
…
9LeónLeón1564522—2022
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626—2521
11Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM1656524—2621
Full Liga MX table