Tigres UANL — Toluca 3:2, 10 October: match result

match finished Liga MX · Matchday 11 Saturday 10 October · 03:00 UTC

Tigres UANL 11th · 13 pts DLDWW

3 : 2 1st half 2:1

Toluca 2th · 20 pts DDDLD

Estadio Universitario · referee D. Quintero

Match predictionValue

The sides to finish within two goals

90% · Margin of one goal or fewer in 3 of 4 meetings

Prediction landed. We predicted “The sides to finish within two goals”, and the match finished 3:2.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off

Tigres UANL 41% draw 25% Toluca 34%

The model was right

The most likely outcome was Tigres UANL win, and the match finished 3:2. Fans backed Tigres UANL win — they got it right.

fans 53 votes

Tigres UANL 52% draw 17% Toluca 31%

Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline

J. Brunetta 1-0 6'

A. Vega 33'

G. Martinez assist: E. Gomez 2-0 37'

Paulinho assist: B. A. Garcia Caprizo 2-1 42'

B. A. Garcia Caprizo 43'

A. Mohamed 45+4'

F. Vinas for E. Gutierrez 46'

F. Vinas assist: Helinho 2-2 54'

J. Brunetta assist: F. Gorriaran 3-2 60'

V. Lorona for A. Franco 69'

D. A. Sanchez Guevara for E. Gomez 69'

J. Angulo for A. Vega 70'

S. Simon for B. A. Garcia Caprizo 71'

J. Diaz Price for Helinho 71'

R. Aguirre for G. Martinez 77'

O. Herrera for D. Lainez 77'

J. Garza for J. Brunetta 89'

V. Lorona 90'

F. Romero 90+3'

F. Pereira 90+3'

P. Perez for N. Castro 90'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench

Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 Toluca

Nahuel Guzmán  
Alan Javier Franco  28 Joaquim  33 Rafael Guerrero  19 Mauro Laínez  
Fernando Gorriarán  5 César Araújo  
Diego Lainez  11 Juan Brunetta  9 Emiliano Gómez  
Guillermo Martínez  

Paulinho  
Helinho  8 Nicolás Castro  9 Alexis Vega  
Franco Romero  35 Érick Gutiérrez  
Brian García  4 Bruno Méndez  6 Federico Pereira  20 Jesús Gallardo  
Luis García  

Tigres UANL bench

25Carlos Rodríguez
30Diego Sánchez
34Henrique Simeone Koifman
184Israel Aceves
14Jesus Garza
6Juan Vigón
77Ozziel Herrera
21Ricardo Monreal
17Rodrigo Aguirre
32Vladimir Loroña

Toluca bench

2Diego Barbosa
25Everardo López
16Federico Viñas
24Fernando Arce Juárez
1Hugo Gonzalez
10Jesús Ricardo Angulo
29Jorge Díaz
13Luan
15Pavel Pérez
19Santiago Simón

Match stats

14 metrics for the full match

30%Possession70%

20Shots17

13Shots on target8

5Shots off target4

2Blocked shots5

12Shots inside box10

8Shots outside box7

5Corners6

1Offsides2

13Fouls20

1Yellow cards4

6Saves10

227Passes537

153Accurate passes447

Tigres UANL

TolucaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Tigres UANL and Toluca met on matchday 11 of the Liga MX on 10 October at Estadio Universitario. Final score — 3:2.

Tigres UANL sit 11th on 13 points after 14 matches (3 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses), winless in 3 matches, 4 matches without conceding. Toluca sit 2th on 20 points after 14 matches (6 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses), unbeaten in 3 matches, 4 matches without conceding.

Of the last 4 meetings Tigres UANL won 2, Toluca won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 6:7.

Season form

all competitions of the season

Tigres UANL last five Toluca

DLDWW form DDDLD

14 Matches 14

3 — 6 — 5 Wins — draws — defeats 6 — 5 — 3

15 — 19 Scored — conceded 29 — 19

1.07 Points per game 1.64

1.07 Goals scored per game 2.07

4 Clean sheets 4

4 Failed to score 1

unbeaten in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 3

Tigres UANL at home: 6 matches, 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, goals 9—7, 1.83 points per match.

Toluca away: 7 matches, 3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, goals 11—8, 1.71 points per match.

Head-to-head

4 matches in our database

2 Tigres UANL wins 1 draw 1 Toluca win goals 6:7 Tigres UANL — Toluca

18/01/2026	Tigres UANL — Toluca	0:0	Liga MX
15/12/2025	Toluca — Tigres UANL	4:1	Liga MX
12/12/2025	Tigres UANL — Toluca	1:0	Liga MX
27/07/2025	Toluca — Tigres UANL	3:4	Liga MX

League table

after the match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
4	Atlas	14	7	3	4	25—26	24
5	Toluca	14	6	5	3	29—19	23
6	León	14	6	4	4	21—18	22
…
14	Puebla	14	4	4	6	16—21	16
15	Tigres UANL	14	3	6	5	15—19	15
16	Atlante	14	3	5	6	14—20	14

Full Liga MX table