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Cruz Azul — Toluca, 26 September 2026, 22:50 UTC : score 3:3

match finished Liga MX · Matchday 10 Saturday 26 September · 22:50 UTC
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 7th · 16 pts DLWWW
3 : 3 1st half 2:0
Toluca 1th · 20 pts DLWWW Toluca
Estadio Banorte · referee K. I. Garcia Mendoza
Match predictionBold

Cruz Azul +1.5

83% · Cruz Azul games average 3.7 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Cruz Azul +1.5”, and the match finished 3:3.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Cruz Azul 33% draw 24% Toluca 43%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Toluca win, and the match finished 3:3. Fans backed Toluca win — they got it wrong.

fans 39 votes
Cruz Azul 30% draw 15% Toluca 55%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
N. Ibanez assist: J. Paradela 1-0 7'
G. Fernandez assist: N. Ibanez 2-0 38'
Helinho penalty 2-1 55'
A. Vega assist: Helinho 2-2 56'
A. Vega assist: N. Castro 2-3 78'
G. Fernandez assist: A. Montano 3-3 90+5'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 5-3-2 · Joel Huiqui 4-2-3-1 · Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio Toluca Toluca
1 Andrés Gudiño
2 Alan Mozo 4 Willer Ditta 33 Gonzalo Piovi 5 Jesús Orozco 3 Omar Campos
8 Agustín Palavecino 20 José Paradela 19 Carlos Rodríguez
7 Nicolás Ibáñez 21 Gabriel Fernández
26 Paulinho
11 Helinho 15 Pavel Pérez 9 Alexis Vega
2 Diego Barbosa 8 Nicolás Castro
4 Bruno Méndez 13 Luan 6 Federico Pereira 17 Brian García
22 Luis García
Cruz Azul bench
  1. 12Alan Montes
  2. 10Andres Montaño
  3. 60Ariel Castro Sevilla
  4. 30Emmanuel Ochoa
  5. 22Jorge Rodarte Barragan
  6. 14Juan Calero
  7. 18Luka Romero
  8. 11Osinachi Ebere
  9. 15Ralph Orquin
  10. 55Rogelio González
Toluca bench
  1. 3Antonio Briseño
  2. 205Edher Segura
  3. 206Erick Orta
  4. 10Jesús Ricardo Angulo
  5. 29Jorge Díaz
  6. 198Jose Estrada
  7. 23Oswaldo Virgen
  8. 12Ronaldo Beltran
  9. 184Sebastian Aceves
  10. 35Érick Gutiérrez

How the match went

text generated from our data

Cruz Azul and Toluca met on matchday 10 of the Liga MX on 26 September at Estadio Banorte. Final score — 3:3.

Cruz Azul sit 7th on 16 points after 10 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). Toluca sit 1th on 20 points after 10 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), 4 matches without conceding.

Of the last 2 meetings Cruz Azul won 1, Toluca won 0, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 2:1.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul last five Toluca Toluca
DLWWW form DLWWW
10 Matches 10
5 — 1 — 4 Wins — draws — defeats 6 — 2 — 2
19 — 18 Scored — conceded 23 — 12
1.6 Points per game 2
1.9 Goals scored per game 2.3
1 Clean sheets 4
2 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Cruz Azul at home: 6 matches, 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, goals 12—12, 1.67 points per match.

Toluca away: 5 matches, 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, goals 8—4, 2.2 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
1 Cruz Azul win 1 draw 0 Toluca wins goals 2:1 Cruz Azul — Toluca
07/02/2026 Toluca — Cruz Azul 1:1 Liga MX
24/08/2025 Cruz Azul — Toluca 1:0 Liga MX