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Wales — Denmark, 4 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 0:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4 Sunday 4 October · 18:45 UTC
Wales Wales 3th · 3 pts LWLL
0 : 1 1st half 0:0
Denmark 2th · 6 pts WLWL Denmark
Cardiff City Stadium · referee I. Peljto
Match predictionBold

Neither team to score 3+

83% · Under 2.5 goals in 3 of 4 Wales games

Prediction landed. We predicted “Neither team to score 3+”, and the match finished 0:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Wales 39% draw 27% Denmark 34%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Wales win, and the match finished 0:1. Fans backed Wales win — they got it wrong.

fans 38 votes
Wales 49% draw 15% Denmark 36%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
L. Cullen 29'
B. Cabango 66'
R. Hojlund penalty 0-1 75'
S. Thomas 80'
M. Hermansen 90+4'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Wales Wales 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 Denmark Denmark
12 Danny Ward
3 Neco Williams 6 Ben Cabango 4 Ben Davies 15 Jay DaSilva
5 Ethan Ampadu 17 Jordan James
11 Brennan Johnson 10 Liam Cullen 19 Sorba Thomas
9 Lewis Koumas
9 Rasmus Højlund 7 Victor Froholdt
8 Gustav Isaksen 21 Morten Hjulmand 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 20 Mohamed Daramy
13 Rasmus Kristensen 2 Joachim Andersen 3 Oliver Provstgaard 5 Joakim Mæhle
16 Mads Hermansen
Wales bench
  1. 2Chris Mepham
  2. 7Cian Ashford
  3. 14Connor Roberts
  4. 20Daniel James
  5. 1David Cornell
  6. 16Jayden Lienou
  7. 23Joel Colwill
  8. 22Josh Sheehan
  9. 13Kieffer Moore
  10. 18Mark Harris
  11. 21Tom King
  12. 8Wes Burns
Denmark bench
  1. 17Adam Daghim
  2. 1Andreas Jungdal
  3. 11Andreas Skov Olsen
  4. 18Anton Gaaei
  5. 22Filip Jørgensen
  6. 19Kasper Høgh
  7. 4Lucas Høgsberg
  8. 12Mads Bidstrup
  9. 15Mathias Kvistgaarden
  10. 10Thomas Jørgensen
  11. 6Victor Nelsson

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
56%Possession44%
6Shots13
1Shots on target4
5Shots off target6
1Blocked shots3
4Shots inside box10
2Shots outside box3
98Attacks78
48Dangerous attacks59
3Corners3
0Offsides3
11Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
3Saves1
564Passes440
481Accurate passes375
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties1
WalesWalesDenmarkDenmarkThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Wales and Denmark met on matchday 4 of the UEFA Nations League on 4 October at Cardiff City Stadium. Final score — 0:1.

Wales sit 3th on 3 points after 4 matches (1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses). Denmark sit 2th on 6 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses).

Of the last 1 meeting Wales won 0, Denmark won 1. Aggregate score — 0:2.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Wales Wales last five Denmark Denmark
LWLL form WLWL
4 Matches 4
1 — 0 — 3 Wins — draws — defeats 2 — 0 — 2
2 — 5 Scored — conceded 7 — 7
0.75 Points per game 1.5
0.5 Goals scored per game 1.75
0 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 0
winless in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Wales at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 2—2, 1.5 points per match.

Denmark away: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 3—3, 1.5 points per match.

Head-to-head

1 match in our database
0 Wales wins 0 draws 1 Denmark win goals 0:2 Wales — Denmark
27/09/2026 Denmark — Wales 2:0 UEFA Nations League