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Sweden — Poland, 28 September 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 3:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 2 Monday 28 September · 18:45 UTC
Strawberry Arena · referee J. Alberola
Match predictionValue

No stalemate here

87% · Sweden games average 3 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “No stalemate here”, and the match finished 3:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Sweden 65% draw 18% Poland 17%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Sweden win, and the match finished 3:1. Fans backed Sweden win — they got it right.

fans 72 votes
Sweden 79% draw 6% Poland 15%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
B. Nygren assist: V. Lindelof 1-0 8'
D. Svensson 19'
T. Puchacz 35'
S. Szymanski assist: N. Zalewski 1-1 43'
P. Zielinski 58'
Y. Ayari assist: S. Nanasi 2-1 63'
V. Gyokeres assist: P. Walemark 3-1 72'
R. Lewandowski 90+2'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Sweden Sweden 4-4-2 · Graham Potter 3-4-3 · Jan Urban Poland Poland
12 Viktor Johansson
8 Daniel Svensson 15 Carl Starfelt 3 Victor Lindelöf 5 Gabriel Gudmundsson
11 Patrik Wålemark 7 Lucas Bergvall 18 Yasin Ayari 22 Besfort Zeneli
10 Benjamin Nygren 17 Viktor Gyökeres
20 Sebastian Szymański 13 Mateusz Żukowski 21 Nicola Zalewski
2 Matty Cash 16 Wiktor Nowak 10 Piotr Zieliński 15 Tymoteusz Puchacz
3 Przemysław Wiśniewski 5 Jan Bednarek 14 Jakub Kiwior
1 Marcin Bułka
Sweden bench
  1. 21Alexander Bernhardsson
  2. 4Elliot Stroud
  3. 2Gustaf Lagerbielke
  4. 14Hampus Skoglund
  5. 20Hugo Larsson
  6. 16Jesper Karlström
  7. 6John Mellberg
  8. 23Melker Ellborg
  9. 1Noel Törnqvist
  10. 9Paulos Abraham
  11. 19Sebastian Nanasi
  12. 13Williot Swedberg
Poland bench
  1. 6Bartosz Slisz
  2. 23Kacper Potulski
  3. 8Kacper Urbański
  4. 11Karol Świderski
  5. 18Marcel Reguła
  6. 12Mateusz Kochalski
  7. 17Michał Skóraś
  8. 19Przemysław Frankowski
  9. 9Robert Lewandowski
  10. 22Sławomir Abramowicz
  11. 4Tomasz Kędziora
  12. 7Wojciech Mońka

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
53%Possession47%
12Shots18
6Shots on target7
5Shots off target6
1Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box9
3Shots outside box9
98Attacks89
59Dangerous attacks61
4Corners4
0Offsides1
8Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
6Saves3
519Passes460
450Accurate passes414
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
SwedenSwedenPolandPolandThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Sweden and Poland met on matchday 2 of the UEFA Nations League on 28 September at Strawberry Arena. Final score — 3:1.

Sweden sit 1th on 7 points after 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches. Poland sit 3th on 4 points after 4 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses).

Season form

all competitions of the season
Sweden Sweden last five Poland Poland
WDWW form LWLD
4 Matches 4
3 — 1 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 1 — 2
7 — 3 Scored — conceded 7 — 4
2.5 Points per game 1
1.75 Goals scored per game 1.75
1 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 2
unbeaten in 4 Current streak winless in 1

Sweden at home: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 5—2, 3 points per match.

Poland away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, goals 1—4, 0 points per match.