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Spain — Croatia, 29 September 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 4:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 2 Tuesday 29 September · 18:45 UTC
Spain Spain 1th · 9 pts WWWW
4 : 1 1st half 2:1
Croatia 3th · 3 pts LLLW Croatia
venue to be confirmed · referee S. Gozubuyuk
Match predictionSafe

Spain to score

93% · Both teams scored in 3 of 3 Spain games

Prediction landed. We predicted “Spain to score”, and the match finished 4:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Spain 64% draw 18% Croatia 18%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Spain win, and the match finished 4:1. Fans backed Spain win — they got it right.

fans 34 votes
Spain 80% draw 6% Croatia 14%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
Lamine Yamal assist: A. Baena 1-0 2'
M. Pongracic 18'
D. Beljo assist: I. Perisic 1-1 28'
M. Pubill assist: Lamine Yamal 2-1 31'
P. Sucic 37'
A. Baena 49'
M. Pasalic 54'
J. Misic 58'
Lamine Yamal assist: Pedri 3-1 63'
N. Williams assist: M. Merino 4-1 89'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Spain Spain 4-3-3 · Luis de la Fuente 4-2-3-1 Croatia Croatia
23 Unai Simón
12 Marc Pubill 5 Pau Cubarsí 2 Dean Huijsen 22 Marc Cucurella
9 Fermín López 18 Martín Zubimendi 8 Fabián Ruiz
19 Lamine Yamal 21 Mikel Oyarzabal 15 Alex Baena
20 Dion Drena Beljo
19 Marco Pašalić 17 Petar Sučić 14 Ivan Perišić
22 Josip Mišić 8 Mateo Kovačić
2 Ivan Smolčić 6 Josip Šutalo 3 Marin Pongračić 4 Joško Gvardiol
1 Dominik Livaković
Spain bench
  1. 3Alejandro Grimaldo
  2. 14Aymeric Laporte
  3. 10Dani Olmo
  4. 1David Raya
  5. 7Ferran Torres
  6. 4Iván Fresneda
  7. 13Josep Martínez
  8. 6Mikel Merino
  9. 17Nico Williams
  10. 20Pedri
  11. 16Rodri
  12. 11Víctor Muñoz
Croatia bench
  1. 9Andrej Kramarić
  2. 11Ante Budimir
  3. 23Dominik Kotarski
  4. 7Franjo Ivanović
  5. 12Ivor Pandur
  6. 18Kristijan Jakić
  7. 10Luka Modrić
  8. 21Luka Sučić
  9. 5Luka Vušković
  10. 15Mario Pašalić
  11. 16Martin Baturina
  12. 13Nikola Vlašić

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
67%Possession33%
6Shots1
3Shots on target1
1Shots off target0
2Blocked shots0
4Shots inside box1
2Shots outside box0
112Attacks58
65Dangerous attacks26
2Corners0
3Offsides0
5Fouls4
0Yellow cards1
0Saves1
217Passes106
195Accurate passes88
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
SpainSpainCroatiaCroatiaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Spain and Croatia met on matchday 2 of the UEFA Nations League on 29 September. Final score — 4:1.

Spain sit 1th on 9 points after 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches. Croatia sit 3th on 3 points after 4 matches (1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses), winless in 3 matches.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Spain Spain last five Croatia Croatia
WWWW form LLLW
4 Matches 4
4 — 0 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 0 — 3
12 — 5 Scored — conceded 4 — 14
3 Points per game 0.75
3 Goals scored per game 1
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 4 Current streak winless in 3

Spain at home: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 7—2, 3 points per match.

Croatia away: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 3—5, 1.5 points per match.