São Paulo — Vitória 2:1, 11 October: match result

match finished Serie A · Matchday 30 Sunday 11 October · 00:00 UTC

São Paulo 10th · 39 pts DWWLL

2 : 1 1st half 1:1

Vitória 12th · 36 pts DDLWL

Estadio Do MorumBIS · referee L. Casagrande

Match predictionValue

Between 1 and 4 goals

85% · São Paulo games average 2.3 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Between 1 and 4 goals”, and the match finished 2:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off

São Paulo 54% draw 21% Vitória 25%

The model was right

The most likely outcome was São Paulo win, and the match finished 2:1. Fans backed São Paulo win — they got it right.

fans 45 votes

São Paulo 62% draw 11% Vitória 27%

Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline

Matheuzinho 17'

Caca 17'

Jonathan Calleri assist: Iago Borduchi 1-0 20'

G. Santana 24'

Emmanuel Martinez assist: Erick 1-1 39'

Djhordney 45'

Lucas Moura for Djhordney 60'

Marcos Antonio for Lucas Ramon 60'

Jonathan Calleri 2-1 70'

T. Pochettino for Lucas Silva 70'

Pedro Lima for G. Santana 75'

Pedro Ferreira for Artur 75'

Sabino 77'

Iago Borduchi 78'

Anderson for Matheuzinho 78'

Renato Kayzer for Rene 78'

Ze Vitor for Caique Goncalves 79'

R. Toloi for D. Bobadilla 84'

Renato Kayzer 86'

Alex Bruno for Emmanuel Martinez 90'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench

São Paulo 3-4-2-1 4-1-4-1 Vitória

Rafael  
Newton  5 Robert Arboleda  35 Sabino  
Lucas Ramon  16 Damián Bobadilla  48 Djhordney  12 Iago Borduchi  
Artur  43 Gustavo Santana  
Jonathan Calleri  

Renê Sousa  
Erick  6 Emmanuel Martínez  10 Matheuzinho  20 Lucas Silva  
Caique Gonçalves  
Mateusinho  25 Cacá  36 Luan Cândido  83 Jamerson  
Lucas Arcanjo  

São Paulo bench

17André Silva
31Carlos Coronel
7Lucas Moura
45Lucca
8Marcos Antônio
29Pablo Maia
46Pedro Ferreira
32Pedro Lima
2Rafael Tolói
49Ryan Francisco
27Victor Sá
18Wendell

Vitória bench

9Alex Bruno
28Anderson Pato
26Edenilson
2Emanuel Brítez
23Fabrício Santos
77Ignacio Laquintana
7Marinho
79Renato Kayzer
8Tomás Pochettino
15Walace
71Yuri Sena
88Zé Vitor

Match stats

19 metrics for the full match

55%Possession45%

21Shots12

6Shots on target2

9Shots off target8

6Blocked shots2

12Shots inside box6

9Shots outside box6

128Attacks88

68Dangerous attacks32

6Corners2

13Fouls13

4Yellow cards3

1Saves4

479Passes403

394Accurate passes327

0Free kicks0

0Throw-ins0

0Goal kicks0

0Penalties0

São Paulo

VitóriaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

São Paulo and Vitória met on matchday 30 of the Serie A on 11 October at Estadio Do MorumBIS. Final score — 2:1.

São Paulo sit 10th on 39 points after 31 matches (11 wins, 7 draws, 13 losses), unbeaten in 3 matches, 7 matches without conceding. Vitória sit 12th on 36 points after 32 matches (10 wins, 8 draws, 14 losses), winless in 3 matches, 11 matches without conceding.

Of the last 3 meetings São Paulo won 1, Vitória won 2. Aggregate score — 2:3.

Season form

all competitions of the season

São Paulo last five Vitória

DWWLL form DDLWL

31 Matches 32

11 — 7 — 13 Wins — draws — defeats 10 — 8 — 14

35 — 35 Scored — conceded 35 — 46

1.29 Points per game 1.19

1.13 Goals scored per game 1.09

7 Clean sheets 11

7 Failed to score 9

unbeaten in 3 Current streak unbeaten in 2

São Paulo at home: 16 matches, 10 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, goals 25—13, 2.06 points per match.

Vitória away: 16 matches, 0 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses, goals 12—33, 0.38 points per match.

Head-to-head

3 matches in our database

1 São Paulo win 0 draws 2 Vitória wins goals 2:3 São Paulo — Vitória

11/04/2026	Vitória — São Paulo	2:0	Serie A
07/12/2025	Vitória — São Paulo	1:0	Serie A
09/08/2025	São Paulo — Vitória	2:0	Serie A

League table

after the match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49—47	46
9	São Paulo	32	12	7	13	37—36	43
10	RB Bragantino	31	11	8	12	39—36	41
…
13	Vasco da Gama	31	10	8	13	39—45	38
14	Vitória	32	10	8	14	35—46	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37—45	37

Full Serie A table