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Rodina Moskva — Orenburg, 19 October 2026, 16:30 UTC : score 2:2

match finished Russian Premier League · Matchday 11 Monday 19 October · 16:30 UTC
Arena Khimki · referee I. Tanashev
Match predictionValue

Between 1 and 4 goals

86% · Orenburg are unbeaten in 4 games

Prediction landed. We predicted “Between 1 and 4 goals”, and the match finished 2:2.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Rodina Moskva 34% draw 26% Orenburg 40%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Orenburg win, and the match finished 2:2. Fans backed Orenburg win — they got it wrong.

fans 38 votes
Rodina Moskva 32% draw 15% Orenburg 53%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
D. Rybchinskiy 5'
S. Bakaev assist: Y. Reyna 1-0 14'
E. Bolotov 17'
J. Thompson penalty 1-1 25'
J. Thompson 26'
S. Bakaev 26'
A. Maksimenko 50'
E. Tsenov 52'
A. Gharibyan for S. Bakaev 60'
M. Abdusalamov for A. Maksimenko 60'
D. Puebla 65'
Rodrigo Becao 67'
A. Tataev 68'
A. Kasadzhikov for E. Bolotov 69'
R. Golybin for D. Puebla 69'
E. Nazarenko for D. Rybchinskiy 70'
S. Volkov 71'
J. Thompson penalty 1-2 73'
Igor Silva 75'
I. Timoshenko for A. Egorychev 75'
Y. Reyna 77'
A. Kasadzhikov 80'
K. Ushatov for L. Musaev 84'
E. Nazarenko 89'
A. Lukashov for J. Thompson 89'
I. Timoshenko 2-2 90'
D. Vedernikov for G. Guzina 90+4'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 5-4-1 4-2-3-1 Orenburg Orenburg
13 Sergey Volkov
2 Igor Silva 50 Rodrigo Becão 38 Leon Musaev 75 Mickaël Nadé 20 Deiver Machado
9 Artem Maksimenko 10 Yordy Reyna 5 Andrey Egorychev 17 Soltmurad Bakaev
7 German Onugkha
30 Gedeon Guzina
10 Jordhy Thompson 8 Damián Puebla 20 Dmitry Rybchinskiy
78 Ruslan Kul 57 Evgeniy Bolotov
24 Maxime Sivis 6 Jhon Palacios 5 Aleksey Tataev 26 Emil Tsenov
1 Bogdan Ovsyannikov
Rodina Moskva bench
  1. 26Artem Meshchaninov
  2. 77Artur Gharibyan
  3. 72Astemir Gordyushenko
  4. 19Dmitriy Tananeev
  5. 99Ivan Timoshenko
  6. 95Kerfala Cissoko
  7. 23Kirill Ushatov
  8. 3Leo Goglichidze
  9. 18Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov
  10. 6Ruslan Fishchenko
  11. 1Sergey Aydarov
  12. 80Stanislav Bessmertniy
Orenburg bench
  1. 35Aleksandr Degtev
  2. 77Andrey Kasadzhikov
  3. 22Anton Lukashov
  4. 38Artem Kasimov
  5. 21Benjamín Bosch
  6. 4Danila Khotulev
  7. 3Danila Vedernikov
  8. 11Egor Nazarenko
  9. 7Jersson González
  10. 80Mikhail Pykhcheev
  11. 63Omar Minatulaev
  12. 27Renat Golybin

Match stats

14 metrics for the full match
57%Possession43%
15Shots17
6Shots on target7
6Shots off target9
3Blocked shots1
13Shots inside box8
2Shots outside box9
2Corners4
2Offsides2
12Fouls20
6Yellow cards8
5Saves4
405Passes304
308Accurate passes221
Rodina MoskvaRodina MoskvaOrenburgOrenburgThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Rodina Moskva and Orenburg met on matchday 11 of the Russian Premier League on 19 October at Arena Khimki. Final score — 2:2.

Rodina Moskva sit 15th on 9 points after 14 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses). Orenburg sit 6th on 16 points after 14 matches (3 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses), 5 matches without conceding.

Of the last 1 meeting Rodina Moskva won 0, Orenburg won 1. Aggregate score — 1:4.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva last five Orenburg Orenburg
LWWDL form LDWDW
14 Matches 14
3 — 3 — 8 Wins — draws — defeats 3 — 8 — 3
15 — 29 Scored — conceded 14 — 14
0.86 Points per game 1.21
1.07 Goals scored per game 1
1 Clean sheets 5
5 Failed to score 6
winless in 1 Current streak winless in 2

Rodina Moskva at home: 6 matches, 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses, goals 10—14, 1 points per match.

Orenburg away: 7 matches, 1 win, 4 draws, 2 losses, goals 5—7, 1 points per match.

Head-to-head

1 match in our database
0 Rodina Moskva wins 0 draws 1 Orenburg win goals 1:4 Rodina Moskva — Orenburg
18/08/2026 Rodina Moskva — Orenburg 1:4 Russian Cup

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8BaltikaBaltika1345417—1417
9OrenburgOrenburg1338214—1217
10Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov1336417—2015
11Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny1435616—1914
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816—2613
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1433815—2912
Full Russian Premier League table