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Real Madrid — RB Leipzig, 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC : score 4:1

match finished UEFA Champions League · Matchday 3 Wednesday 21 October · 19:00 UTC
venue to be confirmed · referee I. Kovacs
Match predictionSafe

Over 1.5 goals

90% · Over 2.5 goals in 3 of 3 Real Madrid games

Prediction landed. We predicted “Over 1.5 goals”, and the match finished 4:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Real Madrid 58% draw 19% RB Leipzig 23%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Real Madrid win, and the match finished 4:1. Fans backed Real Madrid win — they got it right.

fans 43 votes
Real Madrid 66% draw 9% RB Leipzig 25%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
B. Silva 1-0 43'
A. Guler assist: K. Mbappe 2-0 52'
R. Reitz for N. El Aynaoui 63'
A. Maksimovic for B. Gruda 63'
A. Carreras 68'
R. Reitz 70'
Y. Diomande for Vinicius Junior 70'
M. Cucurella for A. Carreras 70'
M. Finkgrafe for D. Raum 73'
T. Gomis for A. Nusa 73'
B. Diaz for A. Guler 78'
C. Baumgartner for C. Nkunku 78'
K. Mbappe assist: Y. Diomande 3-0 83'
T. Gomis assist: C. Baumgartner 3-1 85'
Y. Diomande assist: B. Diaz 4-1 87'
Endrick for J. Bellingham 88'
C. Espi for K. Mbappe 88'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1 Thibaut Courtois
8 Federico Valverde 22 Antonio Rüdiger 4 Dean Huijsen 18 Álvaro Carreras
20 Bernardo Silva 6 Eduardo Camavinga
15 Arda Güler 5 Jude Bellingham 7 Vinícius Júnior
10 Kylian Mbappé
40 Rômulo
10 Brajan Gruda 28 Christopher Nkunku 7 Antonio Nusa
13 Nicolas Seiwald 21 Neil El Aynaoui
17 Ridle Baku 4 Willi Orbán 23 Castello Lukeba 22 David Raum
26 Maarten Vandevoordt
Real Madrid bench
  1. 13Andriy Lunin
  2. 14Aurélien Tchouaméni
  3. 21Brahim Díaz
  4. 19Carlos Espí
  5. 24Denzel Dumfries
  6. 9Endrick
  7. 16Ibrahima Konaté
  8. 17Marc Cucurella
  9. 27Thiago Pitarch
  10. 12Trent Alexander-Arnold
  11. 25Yan Diomande
  12. 3Éder Militão
RB Leipzig bench
  1. 2Abdoul Kone
  2. 30Andrija Maksimović
  3. 39Benjamin Henrichs
  4. 14Christoph Baumgartner
  5. 6Ezechiel Banzuzi
  6. 11Johan Bakayoko
  7. 16Lukas Klostermann
  8. 35Max Finkgräfe
  9. 3Maxime Estève
  10. 20Rocco Reitz
  11. 27Tidiam Gomis
  12. 1Ørjan Nyland

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
65%Possession35%
18Shots11
11Shots on target6
6Shots off target4
1Blocked shots1
13Shots inside box10
5Shots outside box1
113Attacks67
59Dangerous attacks41
7Corners1
3Offsides2
13Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
5Saves6
738Passes400
675Accurate passes351
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
Real MadridReal MadridRB LeipzigRB LeipzigThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Real Madrid and RB Leipzig met on matchday 3 of the UEFA Champions League on 21 October. Final score — 4:1.

Real Madrid sit 4th on 9 points after 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches. RB Leipzig sit 30th on 3 points after 4 matches (1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses).

Season form

all competitions of the season
Real Madrid Real Madrid last five RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWWW form LLWL
4 Matches 4
4 — 0 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 0 — 3
13 — 7 Scored — conceded 5 — 11
3 Points per game 0.75
3.25 Goals scored per game 1.25
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
unbeaten in 4 Current streak winless in 2

Real Madrid at home: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 6—2, 3 points per match.

RB Leipzig away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, goals 2—8, 0 points per match.

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4LiverpoolLiverpool330012—79
5Real MadridReal Madrid330010—59
6Sporting CPSporting CP43018—49
…
27AEK AthensAEK Athens31023—83
28RB LeipzigRB Leipzig31023—83
29VillarrealVillarreal41038—143
Full UEFA Champions League table