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Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano, 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC : score 4:1

match finished La Liga · Matchday 5 Saturday 12 September · 19:00 UTC
venue to be confirmed · referee V. Garcia
Match predictionValue

Real Madrid to avoid defeat

88% · Real Madrid sit 9 places higher in the table

Prediction landed. We predicted “Real Madrid to avoid defeat”, and the match finished 4:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Real Madrid 67% draw 18% Rayo Vallecano 15%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Real Madrid win, and the match finished 4:1. Fans backed Real Madrid win — they got it right.

fans 79 votes
Real Madrid 76% draw 8% Rayo Vallecano 16%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
K. Mbappe penalty 1-0 14'
A. Carreras assist: K. Mbappe 2-0 17'
J. Bellingham assist: Vinicius Junior 3-0 35'
S. Camello 3-1 51'
K. Mbappe assist: A. Guler 4-1 90+1'

How the match went

text generated from our data

Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano met on matchday 5 of the La Liga on 12 September. Final score — 4:1.

Real Madrid sit 2th on 15 points after 12 matches (10 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), unbeaten in 5 matches, 4 matches without conceding. Rayo Vallecano sit 11th on 7 points after 10 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses).

Of the last 2 meetings Real Madrid won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 2:1.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Real Madrid Real Madrid last five Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WWWWW form WLDDW
12 Matches 10
10 — 0 — 2 Wins — draws — defeats 3 — 3 — 4
31 — 10 Scored — conceded 15 — 20
2.5 Points per game 1.2
2.58 Goals scored per game 1.5
4 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 5 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Real Madrid at home: 5 matches, 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 17—3, 3 points per match.

Rayo Vallecano away: 5 matches, 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, goals 6—13, 0.4 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
1 Real Madrid win 1 draw 0 Rayo Vallecano wins goals 2:1 Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano
01/02/2026 Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano 2:1 La Liga
09/11/2025 Rayo Vallecano — Real Madrid 0:0 La Liga

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Atlético de MadridAtlético de Madrid1191122—828
3Real MadridReal Madrid1190228—1027
4Real BetisReal Betis1172218—1523
…
13EspanyolEspanyol1233613—1412
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1033415—2012
15GetafeGetafe113358—1612
Full La Liga table