Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano 4:1, 12 September: match result

match finished La Liga · Matchday 5 Saturday 12 September · 19:00 UTC

Real Madrid 2th · 15 pts LWWLW

4 : 1 1st half 3:0

Rayo Vallecano 11th · 7 pts DWLWL

venue to be confirmed · referee V. Garcia

Match predictionValue

Real Madrid to avoid defeat

88% · Real Madrid sit 9 places higher in the table

Prediction landed. We predicted “Real Madrid to avoid defeat”, and the match finished 4:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off

Real Madrid 67% draw 18% Rayo Vallecano 15%

The model was right

The most likely outcome was Real Madrid win, and the match finished 4:1. Fans backed Real Madrid win — they got it right.

fans 79 votes

Real Madrid 76% draw 8% Rayo Vallecano 16%

Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline

K. Mbappe penalty 1-0 14'

A. Carreras assist: K. Mbappe 2-0 17'

J. Bellingham assist: Vinicius Junior 3-0 35'

S. Camello 3-1 51'

K. Mbappe assist: A. Guler 4-1 90+1'

How the match went

text generated from our data

Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano met on matchday 5 of the La Liga on 12 September. Final score — 4:1.

Real Madrid sit 2th on 15 points after 7 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Rayo Vallecano sit 11th on 7 points after 7 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses).

Of the last 2 meetings Real Madrid won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 2:1.

Season form

all competitions of the season

Real Madrid last five Rayo Vallecano

LWWLW form DWLWL

7 Matches 7

5 — 0 — 2 Wins — draws — defeats 2 — 2 — 3

18 — 8 Scored — conceded 11 — 16

2.14 Points per game 1.14

2.57 Goals scored per game 1.57

1 Clean sheets 0

1 Failed to score 0

winless in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 2

Real Madrid at home: 3 matches, 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 12—2, 3 points per match.

Rayo Vallecano away: 4 matches, 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, goals 5—12, 0.25 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database

1 Real Madrid win 1 draw 0 Rayo Vallecano wins goals 2:1 Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano

01/02/2026	Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano	2:1	La Liga
09/11/2025	Rayo Vallecano — Real Madrid	0:0	La Liga

League table

after the match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9—7	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18—8	15
5	Sevilla	6	4	1	1	9—6	13
…
10	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4—7	8
11	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11—16	8
12	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6—13	8

Full La Liga table