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Puebla — Toluca, 16 September 2026, 01:00 UTC : score 0:1

match finished Liga MX · Matchday 7 Wednesday 16 September · 01:00 UTC
Puebla Puebla 8th · 14 pts LDLWL
0 : 1 1st half 0:0
Toluca 1th · 19 pts DLWWW Toluca
venue to be confirmed · referee A. Escobedo Gonzalez
Match predictionValue

Puebla +2.5

88% · Puebla games average 2.4 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Puebla +2.5”, and the match finished 0:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Puebla 20% draw 24% Toluca 56%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Toluca win, and the match finished 0:1. Fans backed Toluca win — they got it right.

fans 60 votes
Puebla 20% draw 17% Toluca 63%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
V. Guzman for F. Romero 46'
Helinho for E. del Villar 59'
J. Diaz Price for J. Angulo 59'
J. R. Pachuca Martinez (OG) [0-1] 69'
H. Jurado for C. Baltazar 72'
O. F. Moreno Villegas for B. Garnica 75'
Luan for F. Vinas 77'
O. Villa for F. Monarrez 90+4'
I. Moreno for J. R. Pachuca Martinez 90+4'
A. Herrera for A. Organista 90+4'
O. Virgen for Paulinho 90+6'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Puebla Puebla 4-4-2 · Gerardo Espinoza 4-2-3-1 · Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio Toluca Toluca
28 Daniel Gutierrez
20 Jose Pachuca 5 Facundo Almada 4 Juan Pablo Vargas 7 Fernando Monarrez
27 Brayan Garnica 10 Mathías Tomás 21 Sergio Sanabria 22 Carlos Baltazar
24 Alejandro Organista 19 Ignacio Maestro Puch
26 Paulinho
10 Jesús Ricardo Angulo 16 Federico Viñas 20 Jesús Gallardo
5 Franco Romero 8 Nicolás Castro
2 Diego Barbosa 4 Bruno Méndez 6 Federico Pereira 25 Everardo López
22 Luis García
Puebla bench
  1. 3Alberto Herrera
  2. 16Alonso Ramirez
  3. 2Angel Leyva
  4. 14Eduardo Armenta
  5. 25Heriberto Jurado
  6. 12Iker Moreno
  7. 33Jesús Rodríguez
  8. 34Lucas Camilo
  9. 8Omar Moreno
  10. 15Óscar Villa
Toluca bench
  1. 3Antonio Briseño
  2. 24Fernando Arce Juárez
  3. 11Helinho
  4. 29Jorge Díaz
  5. 13Luan
  6. 23Oswaldo Virgen
  7. 15Pavel Pérez
  8. 12Ronaldo Beltran
  9. 184Sebastian Aceves
  10. 7Víctor Guzmán

Match stats

14 metrics for the full match
44%Possession56%
13Shots11
2Shots on target3
4Shots off target4
7Blocked shots4
5Shots inside box5
8Shots outside box6
6Corners5
1Offsides3
7Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
3Saves2
331Passes435
262Accurate passes374
PueblaPueblaTolucaTolucaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Puebla and Toluca met on matchday 7 of the Liga MX on 16 September. Final score — 0:1.

Puebla sit 8th on 14 points after 10 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), winless in 3 matches. Toluca sit 1th on 19 points after 10 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), 4 matches without conceding.

Of the last 2 meetings Puebla won 0, Toluca won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 1:3.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Puebla Puebla last five Toluca Toluca
LDLWL form DLWWW
10 Matches 10
4 — 2 — 4 Wins — draws — defeats 6 — 2 — 2
11 — 12 Scored — conceded 23 — 12
1.4 Points per game 2
1.1 Goals scored per game 2.3
2 Clean sheets 4
3 Failed to score 1
winless in 3 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Puebla at home: 4 matches, 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss, goals 5—5, 1.25 points per match.

Toluca away: 5 matches, 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, goals 8—4, 2.2 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
0 Puebla wins 1 draw 1 Toluca win goals 1:3 Puebla — Toluca
31/01/2026 Puebla — Toluca 0:0 Liga MX
14/09/2025 Toluca — Puebla 3:1 Liga MX