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Portugal — Wales, 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 1:0

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 1 Thursday 24 September · 18:45 UTC
Portugal Portugal 1th · 6 pts WWWW
1 : 0 1st half 1:0
Wales 4th · 0 pts LWLL Wales
venue to be confirmed · referee D. Rumsas
Match predictionValue

This will not turn into a rout

89%

Prediction landed. We predicted “This will not turn into a rout”, and the match finished 1:0.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Portugal 50% draw 25% Wales 25%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Portugal win, and the match finished 1:0. Fans backed Portugal win — they got it right.

fans 66 votes
Portugal 62% draw 16% Wales 22%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
Joao Felix assist: N. Mendes 1-0 22'
B. Cabango 71'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Portugal Portugal 4-1-3-2 4-4-2 · Craig Douglas Bellamy Wales Wales
1 Diogo Costa
20 João Cancelo 3 Rúben Dias 13 Renato Veiga 19 Nuno Mendes
21 Rúben Neves
18 Pedro Neto 23 Vitinha 8 Bruno Fernandes
11 João Félix 7 Cristiano Ronaldo
9 Lewis Koumas 17 Jordan James
7 David Brooks 5 Ethan Ampadu 22 Josh Sheehan 11 Brennan Johnson
3 Neco Williams 6 Ben Cabango 4 Ben Davies 15 Jay DaSilva
12 Danny Ward
Portugal bench
  1. 10Bernardo Silva
  2. 2Diogo Dalot
  3. 14Francisco Conceição
  4. 16Francisco Trincão
  5. 9Gonçalo Ramos
  6. 15João Neves
  7. 6João Palhinha
  8. 5Nuno Tavares
  9. 17Rafael Leão
  10. 12Rui Silva
  11. 22Samuel Soares
  12. 4Tomás Araújo
Wales bench
  1. 2Chris Mepham
  2. 14Connor Roberts
  3. 20Daniel James
  4. 1David Cornell
  5. 23Joel Colwill
  6. 13Kieffer Moore
  7. 10Liam Cullen
  8. 18Mark Harris
  9. 16Rhys Norrington-Davies
  10. 19Sorba Thomas
  11. 21Tom King
  12. 8Wes Burns

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
61%Possession39%
23Shots5
5Shots on target1
11Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
17Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box0
112Attacks82
49Dangerous attacks23
10Corners2
3Offsides3
12Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Saves4
626Passes394
568Accurate passes325
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
PortugalPortugalWalesWalesThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Portugal and Wales met on matchday 1 of the UEFA Nations League on 24 September. Final score — 1:0.

Portugal sit 1th on 6 points after 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches. Wales sit 4th on 0 points after 4 matches (1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses).

Season form

all competitions of the season
Portugal Portugal last five Wales Wales
WWWW form LWLL
4 Matches 4
4 — 0 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 0 — 3
9 — 4 Scored — conceded 2 — 5
3 Points per game 0.75
2.25 Goals scored per game 0.5
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 3
unbeaten in 4 Current streak winless in 1

Portugal at home: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 3—1, 3 points per match.

Wales away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, goals 0—3, 0 points per match.