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Portugal — Norway, 4 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 2:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4 Sunday 4 October · 18:45 UTC
venue to be confirmed · referee M. Mariani
Match predictionValue

Norway to lose by two at most

89% · Norway games average 3.5 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Norway to lose by two at most”, and the match finished 2:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Portugal 47% draw 22% Norway 31%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Portugal win, and the match finished 2:1. Fans backed Portugal win — they got it right.

fans 81 votes
Portugal 61% draw 12% Norway 27%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
J. Cancelo 12'
K. Ajer assist: M. Odegaard 0-1 36'
J. Cancelo assist: N. Mendes 1-1 38'
G. Ramos assist: Joao Felix 2-1 79'
F. Conceicao 86'
F. Conceicao 86'
F. Conceicao 86'
B. Fernandes 88'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Portugal Portugal 4-1-3-2 4-2-3-1 Norway Norway
1 Diogo Costa
20 João Cancelo 3 Rúben Dias 13 Renato Veiga 19 Nuno Mendes
6 João Palhinha
14 Francisco Conceição 23 Vitinha 8 Bruno Fernandes
9 Gonçalo Ramos 11 João Félix
9 Erling Haaland
21 Andreas Schjelderup 10 Martin Ødegaard 20 Antonio Nusa
8 Sander Berge 6 Patrick Berg
7 Fredrik Aursnes 3 Kristoffer Ajer 4 Leo Østigård 5 David Møller Wolfe
13 Egil Selvik
Portugal bench
  1. 10Bernardo Silva
  2. 2Diogo Dalot
  3. 16Francisco Trincão
  4. 18Fábio Silva
  5. 15João Neves
  6. 5Nuno Tavares
  7. 17Pedro Neto
  8. 7Rafael Leão
  9. 12Rui Silva
  10. 21Rúben Neves
  11. 22Samuel Soares
  12. 4Tomás Araújo
Norway bench
  1. 23Erik Botheim
  2. 14Fredrik Sjøvold
  3. 11Jørgen Strand Larsen
  4. 18Kristian Thorstvedt
  5. 16Marcus Pedersen
  6. 2Odin Luras Bjørtuft
  7. 17Ole Didrik Blomberg
  8. 22Oscar Bobb
  9. 12Sander Tangvik
  10. 15Sondre Langås
  11. 19Thelo Aasgaard
  12. 1Ørjan Nyland

Match stats

21 metrics for the full match
59%Possession41%
20Shots9
7Shots on target3
8Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
11Shots inside box6
9Shots outside box3
116Attacks68
52Dangerous attacks34
6Corners4
2Offsides2
8Fouls7
4Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
2Saves5
496Passes351
433Accurate passes274
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
PortugalPortugalNorwayNorwayThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Portugal and Norway met on matchday 4 of the UEFA Nations League on 4 October. Final score — 2:1.

Portugal sit 1th on 12 points after 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches. Norway sit 4th on 3 points after 4 matches (1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses), winless in 3 matches.

Of the last 1 meeting Portugal won 1, Norway won 0. Aggregate score — 2:1.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Portugal Portugal last five Norway Norway
WWWW form LLLW
4 Matches 4
4 — 0 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 0 — 3
9 — 4 Scored — conceded 6 — 8
3 Points per game 0.75
2.25 Goals scored per game 1.5
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
unbeaten in 4 Current streak winless in 3

Portugal at home: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 3—1, 3 points per match.

Norway away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, goals 2—4, 0 points per match.

Head-to-head

1 match in our database
1 Portugal win 0 draws 0 Norway wins goals 2:1 Portugal — Norway
27/09/2026 Norway — Portugal 1:2 UEFA Nations League