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Netherlands — Germany, 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 1:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 1 Thursday 24 September · 18:45 UTC
Johan Cruijff Arena · referee A. Hernandez
Match predictionValue

Netherlands +1.5

85% · Netherlands games average 2.5 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Netherlands +1.5”, and the match finished 1:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Netherlands 38% draw 23% Germany 39%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Germany win, and the match finished 1:1. Fans backed Germany win — they got it wrong.

fans 34 votes
Netherlands 36% draw 17% Germany 47%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
Q. Timber 22'
J. P. van Hecke 24'
F. Nmecha assist: K. Adeyemi 0-1 32'
N. Amiri 68'
D. Dumfries 68'
C. Gakpo assist: R. van Bommel 1-1 90+2'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Netherlands Netherlands 4-2-3-1 · Ronald Koeman 4-2-3-1 · Julian Nagelsmann Germany Germany
1 Bart Verbruggen
22 Denzel Dumfries 6 Jan Paul van Hecke 4 Virgil van Dijk 15 Micky van de Ven
8 Ryan Gravenberch 19 Quinten Timber
7 Crysencio Summerville 14 Tijjani Reijnders 11 Cody Gakpo
9 Brian Brobbey
7 Kai Havertz
19 Karim Adeyemi 11 Nadiem Amiri 9 Kevin Schade
8 Felix Nmecha 6 Joshua Kimmich
13 Philipp Treu 4 Jonathan Tah 15 Nico Schlotterbeck 18 Nathaniel Brown
1 Marc-André Ter Stegen
Netherlands bench
  1. 16Guus Til
  2. 12Jeremie Frimpong
  3. 18Joey Veerman
  4. 3Jorrel Hato
  5. 2Lutsharel Geertruida
  6. 23Mark Flekken
  7. 17Mexx Meerdink
  8. 5Nathan Aké
  9. 10Noa Lang
  10. 13Robin Roefs
  11. 21Ruben van Bommel
  12. 20Teun Koopmeiners
Germany bench
  1. 21Alexander Nübel
  2. 16Anton Stach
  3. 17Chris Führich
  4. 12Finn Dahmen
  5. 22Hennes Behrens
  6. 14Josha Vagnoman
  7. 3Maximilian Rosenfelder
  8. 20Serge Gnabry
  9. 2Yann Bisseck
  10. 5Yannick Engelhardt
  11. 23Younes Ebnoutalib

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
54%Possession46%
22Shots10
10Shots on target2
6Shots off target5
6Blocked shots3
16Shots inside box7
6Shots outside box3
94Attacks69
53Dangerous attacks45
12Corners1
3Offsides1
11Fouls16
4Yellow cards1
1Saves9
407Passes368
346Accurate passes302
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
NetherlandsNetherlandsGermanyGermanyThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Netherlands and Germany met on matchday 1 of the UEFA Nations League on 24 September at Johan Cruijff Arena. Final score — 1:1.

Netherlands sit 2th on 4 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches. Germany sit 3th on 1 point after 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss).

Of the last 2 meetings Netherlands won 0, Germany won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 2:3.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Netherlands Netherlands last five Germany Germany
WDWD form DWLD
4 Matches 4
2 — 2 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 2 — 1
7 — 5 Scored — conceded 3 — 2
2 Points per game 1.25
1.75 Goals scored per game 0.75
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 2
unbeaten in 4 Current streak unbeaten in 2

Netherlands at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 3—2, 2 points per match.

Germany away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, goals 1—1, 1 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
0 Netherlands wins 1 draw 1 Germany win goals 2:3 Netherlands — Germany
14/10/2024 Germany — Netherlands 1:0 UEFA Nations League
10/09/2024 Netherlands — Germany 2:2 UEFA Nations League