Mainz 05 — Bayer Leverkusen 3:4, 10 October: match result

match finished Bundesliga · Matchday 5 Saturday 10 October · 13:30 UTC

Mainz 05 8th · 7 pts LLLWL

3 : 4 1st half 2:2

Bayer Leverkusen 4th · 10 pts LLWWW

Mewa Arena · referee M. Burda

Match predictionValue

Over 1.5 goals

88% · Over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 Bayer Leverkusen games

Prediction landed. We predicted “Over 1.5 goals”, and the match finished 3:4.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off

Mainz 05 30% draw 22% Bayer Leverkusen 48%

The model was right

The most likely outcome was Bayer Leverkusen win, and the match finished 3:4. Fans backed Bayer Leverkusen win — they got it right.

fans 47 votes

Mainz 05 27% draw 15% Bayer Leverkusen 58%

Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline

R. Andrich 0-1 5'

P. Schick assist: A. Garcia 0-2 9'

P. Tietz 20'

A. Caci 1-2 33'

S. Becker 35'

A. Caci assist: N. Amiri 2-2 42'

J. Quansah 2-3 55'

M. Diaby assist: A. Moreira 2-4 65'

M. Terrier for I. Maza 66'

R. Konigsdorffer for K. Potulski 70'

D. da Costa for A. Caci 70'

Lee Jae-Sung for E. Martel 70'

M. Tillman for M. Diaby 75'

N. Tella for A. Moreira 75'

Lee Jae-Sung 76'

B. Hollerbach for S. Becker 77'

L. Maloney for K. Sano 81'

J. Hofmann for P. Schick 83'

E. Fernandez for A. Garcia 84'

B. Hollerbach 3-4 90+2'

J. Quansah 90+3'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench

Mainz 05 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Alexander Schwolow  
Stefan Posch  3 Fabio Gruber  48 Kacper Potulski  
Anthony Caci  5 Eric Martel  6 Kaishu Sano  10 Nadiem Amiri  2 Phillipp Mwene  
Phillip Tietz  23 Sheraldo Becker  

Patrik Schick  
Moussa Diaby  30 Ibrahim Maza  9 Afonso Moreira  
Robert Andrich  24 Aleix García  
Jarell Quansah  12 Edmond Tapsoba  2 Facundo Medina  3 Miguel Gutiérrez  
Mark Flekken  

Mainz 05 bench

17Benedict Hollerbach
21Danny da Costa
7Jae-sung Lee
15Lennard Maloney
40Maximilian Kinzig
47Rael Nakuzola
11Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
24Sota Kawasaki
16Stefan Bell

Bayer Leverkusen bench

6Ezequiel Fernández
28Janis Blaswich
7Jonas Hofmann
5Loïc Badé
17Lucas Vázquez
10Malik Tillman
11Martin Terrier
23Nathan Tella
22Victor Okoh Boniface

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match

47%Possession53%

23Shots16

5Shots on target7

11Shots off target6

7Blocked shots3

17Shots inside box12

6Shots outside box4

99Attacks97

62Dangerous attacks49

4Corners3

0Offsides1

11Fouls10

3Yellow cards1

3Saves1

442Passes508

367Accurate passes433

0Free kicks0

0Throw-ins0

0Goal kicks0

0Penalties0

Mainz 05

Bayer LeverkusenThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen met on matchday 5 of the Bundesliga on 10 October at Mewa Arena. Final score — 3:4.

Mainz 05 sit 8th on 7 points after 9 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses), winless in 3 matches, 3 matches without conceding. Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th on 10 points after 8 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses).

Of the last 2 meetings Mainz 05 won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 4:5.

Season form

all competitions of the season

Mainz 05 last five Bayer Leverkusen

LLLWL form LLWWW

9 Matches 8

3 — 1 — 5 Wins — draws — defeats 4 — 1 — 3

18 — 19 Scored — conceded 18 — 16

1.11 Points per game 1.63

2 Goals scored per game 2.25

3 Clean sheets 2

1 Failed to score 1

winless in 3 Current streak winless in 2

Mainz 05 at home: 5 matches, 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, goals 7—12, 0.2 points per match.

Bayer Leverkusen away: 4 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses, goals 8—11, 1 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database

0 Mainz 05 wins 1 draw 1 Bayer Leverkusen win goals 4:5 Mainz 05 — Bayer Leverkusen

28/02/2026	Bayer Leverkusen — Mainz 05	1:1	Bundesliga
18/10/2025	Mainz 05 — Bayer Leverkusen	3:4	Bundesliga

League table

after the match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
5	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	17—15	15
6	Bayer Leverkusen	8	4	1	3	18—16	13
7	Elversberg	9	4	1	4	17—18	13
…
10	Hamburger SV	9	4	0	5	10—20	12
11	Mainz 05	9	3	1	5	18—19	10
12	Paderborn	9	2	4	3	8—11	10

Full Bundesliga table

Mainz 05 — Bayer Leverkusen, 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC : score 3:4