Luxembourg — Bulgaria, 6 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 0:2
Neither team to score 3+
88% · Under 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 3 meetings
Prediction landed. We predicted “Neither team to score 3+”, and the match finished 0:2.
the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one
The most likely outcome was Luxembourg win, and the match finished 0:2. Fans backed Luxembourg win — they got it wrong.
Match events
full timelineHow the match went
text generated from our dataLuxembourg and Bulgaria met on matchday 4 of the UEFA Nations League on 6 October at Stade de Luxembourg. Final score — 0:2.
Luxembourg sit 4th on 3 points after 4 matches (1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses), winless in 3 matches. Bulgaria sit 3th on 4 points after 4 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses).
Of the last 3 meetings Luxembourg won 1, Bulgaria won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 2:2.
Season form
all competitions of the season
Luxembourg last five Bulgaria 
Luxembourg at home: 2 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, goals 0—5, 0 points per match.
Bulgaria away: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 2—3, 1.5 points per match.
Head-to-head
3 matches in our database| 26/09/2026 | Bulgaria — Luxembourg | 1:2 | UEFA Nations League |
| 15/11/2024 | Luxembourg — Bulgaria | 0:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 12/10/2024 | Bulgaria — Luxembourg | 0:0 | UEFA Nations League |