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Lithuania — Azerbaijan, 27 September 2026, 13:00 UTC : score 1:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 2 Sunday 27 September · 13:00 UTC
Lithuania Lithuania 1th · 4 pts LDW
1 : 1 1st half 1:1
Azerbaijan 2th · 2 pts WDD Azerbaijan
venue to be confirmed · referee A. Menelaos
Match predictionSafe

No rout: margin of two goals or fewer

90%

Prediction landed. We predicted “No rout: margin of two goals or fewer”, and the match finished 1:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Lithuania 47% draw 26% Azerbaijan 27%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Lithuania win, and the match finished 1:1. Fans backed Lithuania win — they got it wrong.

fans 60 votes
Lithuania 56% draw 13% Azerbaijan 31%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
A. Kucys penalty 1-0 9'
M. Emreli assist: T. Mutallimov 1-1 14'

How the match went

text generated from our data

Lithuania and Azerbaijan met on matchday 2 of the UEFA Nations League on 27 September. Final score — 1:1.

Lithuania sit 1th on 4 points after 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). Azerbaijan sit 2th on 2 points after 3 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 3 matches.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Lithuania Lithuania last five Azerbaijan Azerbaijan
LDW form WDD
3 Matches 3
1 — 1 — 1 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 2 — 0
3 — 2 Scored — conceded 2 — 1
1.33 Points per game 1.67
1 Goals scored per game 0.67
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
winless in 2 Current streak unbeaten in 3

Lithuania at home: 1 match, 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 1—1, 1 points per match.

Azerbaijan away: 1 match, 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 1—1, 1 points per match.