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Italy — Türkiye, 5 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 3:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4 Monday 5 October · 18:45 UTC
Italy Italy 2th · 7 pts WDWL
3 : 1 1st half 1:0
Türkiye 4th · 0 pts LLLL Türkiye
venue to be confirmed · referee S. Marciniak
Match predictionValue

The sides to finish within two goals

86% · Türkiye are winless in 4 games

Prediction landed. We predicted “The sides to finish within two goals”, and the match finished 3:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Italy 49% draw 22% Türkiye 29%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Italy win, and the match finished 3:1. Fans backed Italy win — they got it right.

fans 37 votes
Italy 62% draw 10% Türkiye 28%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
G. Scamacca 1-0 26'
G. Scamacca 42'
M. Ruggeri 47'
Z. Celik 55'
M. Kayode for G. Di Lorenzo 55'
F. Esposito for G. Scamacca 56'
R. Calafiori for M. Ruggeri 56'
A. Simsir assist: E. Elmali 1-1 61'
R. Calafiori assist: N. Barella 2-1 64'
B. Elmaz for I. Kahveci 70'
S. Tonali for N. Barella 70'
I. Fakili for A. Simsir 70'
K. Akturkoglu for I. Yuksek 79'
A. Bardakci 81'
D. Frattesi for A. Vergara 84'
F. Esposito assist: A. Romano 3-1 87'
O. Aydin for F. Kadioglu 88'
D. Gul for Y. Akgun 88'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Italy Italy 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 Türkiye Türkiye
1 Gianluigi Donnarumma
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo 23 Gianluca Mancini 6 Alessandro Bastoni 3 Matteo Ruggeri
18 Nicolò Barella 4 Alessandro Romano 15 Issa Doumbia
21 Antonio Vergara 11 Gianluca Scamacca 17 Daniel Maldini
19 Yunus Akgün
10 İrfan Can Kahveci 21 Aral Şimşir
20 Ferdi Kadıoğlu 5 Salih Özcan 16 İsmail Yüksek 13 Eren Elmalı
2 Zeki Çelik 15 Ozan Kabak 14 Abdülkerim Bardakcı
1 Uğurcan Çakır
Italy bench
  1. 16Davide Frattesi
  2. 19Giorgio Scalvini
  3. 13Guglielmo Vicario
  4. 12Marco Carnesecchi
  5. 2Michael Kayode
  6. 7Nicolò Cambiaghi
  7. 10Nicolò Fagioli
  8. 9Pio Esposito
  9. 5Riccardo Calafiori
  10. 14Samuele Inacio
  11. 8Sandro Tonali
  12. 20Sebastiano Esposito
Türkiye bench
  1. 12Altay Bayındır
  2. 6Bartuğ Elmaz
  3. 8Demir Ege Tıknaz
  4. 9Deniz Gül
  5. 4Emirhan Topçu
  6. 7Kerem Aktürkoğlu
  7. 17Melih Kabasakal
  8. 3Merih Demiral
  9. 23Muhammed Şengezer
  10. 22Mustafa Eskihellaç
  11. 18Oğuz Aydın
  12. 11İlhan Fakılı

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
45%Possession55%
15Shots14
6Shots on target5
2Shots off target5
7Blocked shots4
12Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box7
75Attacks91
51Dangerous attacks54
3Corners9
5Offsides0
11Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
4Saves3
449Passes554
393Accurate passes496
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
ItalyItalyTürkiyeTürkiyeThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Italy and Türkiye met on matchday 4 of the UEFA Nations League on 5 October. Final score — 3:1.

Italy sit 2th on 7 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), unbeaten in 3 matches. Türkiye sit 4th on 0 points after 4 matches (0 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses), winless in 4 matches.

Of the last 1 meeting Italy won 1, Türkiye won 0. Aggregate score — 4:1.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Italy Italy last five Türkiye Türkiye
WDWL form LLLL
4 Matches 4
2 — 1 — 1 Wins — draws — defeats 0 — 0 — 4
8 — 5 Scored — conceded 2 — 11
1.75 Points per game 0
2 Goals scored per game 0.5
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 2
unbeaten in 3 Current streak winless in 4

Italy at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 3—3, 1.5 points per match.

Türkiye away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, goals 1—6, 0 points per match.

Head-to-head

1 match in our database
1 Italy win 0 draws 0 Türkiye wins goals 4:1 Italy — Türkiye
28/09/2026 Türkiye — Italy 1:4 UEFA Nations League