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Iceland — Bulgaria, 3 October 2026, 16:00 UTC : score 3:0

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 3 Saturday 3 October · 16:00 UTC
Iceland Iceland 1th · 8 pts DWWD
3 : 0 1st half 1:0
Bulgaria 3th · 4 pts WLDL Bulgaria
venue to be confirmed · referee B. Berke
Match predictionSafe

The sides to finish within two goals

90% · Iceland are unbeaten in 4 games

Prediction missed. We predicted “The sides to finish within two goals”, and the match finished 3:0.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Iceland 45% draw 26% Bulgaria 29%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Iceland win, and the match finished 3:0. Fans backed Iceland win — they got it right.

fans 60 votes
Iceland 54% draw 16% Bulgaria 30%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
H. Magnusson 4'
L. Petkov 10'
D. Velkovski 27'
M. E. Ellertsson 32'
O. Oskarsson assist: H. Haraldsson 1-0 37'
A. Gudjohnsen for A. Sigurdsson 46'
D. L. Gretarsson for A. Gunnarsson 46'
E. Tsenov for I. Gruev 55'
M. Petkov for L. Petkov 55'
A. Iliev 59'
O. Oskarsson assist: M. Anderson 2-0 60'
V. Palsson for A. Baldursson 62'
G. Sigurdsson for J. Thorsteinsson 62'
P. Panayotov for A. Chandarov 67'
Z. Dimitrov for G. Rusev 67'
M. Petkov 81'
L. Tomasson for H. Haraldsson 82'
V. Nikolov for A. Iliev 83'
M. E. Ellertsson assist: O. Oskarsson 3-0 90'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Iceland Iceland 4-4-1-1 4-4-2 Bulgaria Bulgaria
12 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson
18 Mikael Anderson 17 Aron Gunnarsson 23 Hörður Magnússon 19 Mikael Ellertsson
21 Arnór Sigurðsson 6 Andri Fannar Baldursson 8 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 11 Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
7 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
9 Orri Óskarsson
14 Asen Chandarov 9 Atanas Iliev
20 Lukas Petkov 8 Andrian Kraev 4 Ilia Gruev 11 Georgi Rusev
19 Ivan Turitsov 5 Kristian Dimitrov 13 Stefan Velkov 21 Dimitar Velkovski
1 Daniel Naumov
Iceland bench
  1. 22Andri Guðjohnsen
  2. 13Anton Ari Einarsson
  3. 14Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
  4. 3Daníel Grétarsson
  5. 15Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen
  6. 10Gylfi Sigurðsson
  7. 2Logi Tomasson
  8. 1Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson
  9. 16Stefán Teitur Þórðarson
  10. 4Victor Pálsson
  11. 5Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson
  12. 20Þórir Jóhann Helgason
Bulgaria bench
  1. 23Aleks Bozhev
  2. 3Andrea Hristov
  3. 12Dimitar Mitov
  4. 6Emil Tsenov
  5. 15Hristiyan Petrov
  6. 18Kristiyan Balov
  7. 22Kristiyan Stoyanov
  8. 16Marin Petkov
  9. 7Petko Panayotov
  10. 17Vladimir Nikolov
  11. 2Yoni Stoyanov
  12. 10Zdravko Dimitrov

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
51%Possession49%
10Shots10
6Shots on target3
2Shots off target6
2Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box3
94Attacks96
47Dangerous attacks27
9Corners1
1Offsides1
11Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
3Saves3
422Passes420
338Accurate passes338
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
1Penalties0
IcelandIcelandBulgariaBulgariaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Iceland and Bulgaria met on matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on 3 October. Final score — 3:0.

Iceland sit 1th on 8 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches, 3 matches without conceding. Bulgaria sit 3th on 4 points after 4 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses).

Season form

all competitions of the season
Iceland Iceland last five Bulgaria Bulgaria
DWWD form WLDL
4 Matches 4
2 — 2 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 1 — 2
7 — 1 Scored — conceded 3 — 5
2 Points per game 1
1.75 Goals scored per game 0.75
3 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 2
unbeaten in 4 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Iceland at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 4—1, 2 points per match.

Bulgaria away: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 2—3, 1.5 points per match.