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Germany — Serbia, 1 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 2:0

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 3 Thursday 1 October · 18:45 UTC
Allianz Arena · referee E. Eskas
Match predictionSafe

Serbia will not reach three goals

93% · Serbia average 0.8 goals per game

Prediction landed. We predicted “Serbia will not reach three goals”, and the match finished 2:0.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Germany 54% draw 25% Serbia 21%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Germany win, and the match finished 2:0. Fans backed Germany win — they got it right.

fans 51 votes
Germany 64% draw 14% Serbia 22%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
T. Bischof 1-0 39'
S. El Mala for S. Gnabry 46'
F. Wirtz assist: M. Mittelstadt 2-0 61'
S. Lukic for D. Tadic 67'
L. Samardzic for A. Zivkovic 67'
S. Pavlovic for S. Erakovic 67'
M. Cvetkovic for S. Dzodic 67'
N. Gudelj 73'
B. Conte for D. Scherhant 77'
M. Baur for T. Bischof 77'
J. Burkardt for N. Woltemade 77'
N. Maksimovic 79'
V. Paunovic 79'
V. Kostov for N. Maksimovic 88'
V. Janelt for A. Pavlovic 88'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Germany Germany 4-4-2 5-4-1 Serbia Serbia
1 Jonas Urbig
13 Philipp Treu 2 Malick Thiaw 3 Waldemar Anton 18 Maximilian Mittelstädt
20 Serge Gnabry 5 Aleksandar Pavlović 8 Tom Bischof 9 Derry Scherhant
11 Nick Woltemade 17 Florian Wirtz
8 Luka Jović
14 Andrija Živković 5 Nemanja Maksimović 19 Stefan Džodić 10 Dušan Tadić
2 Kosta Nedeljković 16 Strahinja Eraković 6 Nemanja Gudelj 15 Srđan Babić 11 Filip Kostić
1 Đorđe Petrović
Germany bench
  1. 19Bambasé Conté
  2. 22David Raum
  3. 12Finn Dahmen
  4. 4Finn Jeltsch
  5. 10Jonathan Burkardt
  6. 15Lennart Karl
  7. 14Mika Baur
  8. 21Noah Atubolu
  9. 16Ridle Baku
  10. 7Said El Mala
  11. 23Vitaly Janelt
  12. 6Yannick Engelhardt
Serbia bench
  1. 17Aleksa Terzić
  2. 7Aleksandar Stanković
  3. 9Dejan Joveljić
  4. 12Filip Stanković
  5. 21Lazar Samardžić
  6. 18Mihajlo Cvetković
  7. 13Nikola Simić
  8. 4Ognjen Mimović
  9. 22Saša Lukić
  10. 3Strahinja Pavlović
  11. 23Vanja Milinković-Savić
  12. 20Vasilije Kostov

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
74%Possession26%
32Shots1
8Shots on target1
17Shots off target0
7Blocked shots0
21Shots inside box0
11Shots outside box1
153Attacks59
88Dangerous attacks14
12Corners1
1Offsides1
10Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
1Saves6
736Passes267
673Accurate passes188
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
GermanyGermanySerbiaSerbiaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Germany and Serbia met on matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on 1 October at Allianz Arena. Final score — 2:0.

Germany sit 3th on 5 points after 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss). Serbia sit 4th on 0 points after 4 matches (0 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses), winless in 4 matches.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Germany Germany last five Serbia Serbia
DWLD form LLLL
4 Matches 4
1 — 2 — 1 Wins — draws — defeats 0 — 0 — 4
3 — 2 Scored — conceded 3 — 8
1.25 Points per game 0
0.75 Goals scored per game 0.75
2 Clean sheets 0
2 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 2 Current streak winless in 4

Germany at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 2—1, 1.5 points per match.

Serbia away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, goals 1—4, 0 points per match.