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France — Belgium, 5 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 4:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4 Monday 5 October · 18:45 UTC
France France 1th · 10 pts WDWW
4 : 1 1st half 0:1
Belgium 3th · 6 pts LWLW Belgium
Stade de France · referee N. Walsh
Match predictionValue

Belgium to stay within two goals

90% · Belgium games average 2.8 goals

Prediction missed. We predicted “Belgium to stay within two goals”, and the match finished 4:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
France 56% draw 21% Belgium 23%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was France win, and the match finished 4:1. Fans backed France win — they got it right.

fans 74 votes
France 69% draw 11% Belgium 20%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
D. Lukebakio assist: R. Lavia 0-1 35'
R. Lavia 57'
M. Olise for O. Dembele 60'
R. Cherki for M. Akliouche 60'
L. Da Cunha for M. Kone 61'
M. Lacroix 69'
C. De Ketelaere for R. Lukaku 70'
M. Godts for D. Lukebakio 70'
D. Doue for B. Barcola 72'
M. van Bommel 73'
J. Seys 75'
D. Doue assist: L. Da Cunha 1-1 77'
R. Cherki assist: M. Olise 2-1 81'
L. Trossard for H. Vanaken 87'
M. Keita for R. Lavia 87'
L. Openda for D. Moreira 87'
M. Olise assist: D. Doue 3-1 88'
A. Rabiot for E. Camavinga 88'
M. Olise assist: D. Doue 4-1 90+1'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
France France 4-3-3 4-3-3 Belgium Belgium
1 Guillaume Restes
5 Jules Koundé 15 Leny Yoro 17 Maxence Lacroix 13 Andy Diouf
18 Maghnes Akliouche 6 Eduardo Camavinga 8 Manu Koné
7 Ousmane Dembélé 19 Esteban Lepaul 12 Bradley Barcola
14 Dodi Lukebakio 9 Romelu Lukaku 19 Diego Moreira
23 Nicolas Raskin 6 Roméo Lavia 20 Hans Vanaken
21 Timothy Castagne 15 Nathan Ngoy 4 Brandon Mechele 18 Joaquin Seys
12 Maarten Vandevoordt
France bench
  1. 14Adrien Rabiot
  2. 3Adrien Truffert
  3. 20Désiré Doué
  4. 23Jean Butez
  5. 21Lucas Da Cunha
  6. 11Michael Olise
  7. 16Mike Maignan
  8. 2Pierre Kalulu
  9. 9Rayan Cherki
Belgium bench
  1. 3Arthur Theate
  2. 17Charles De Ketelaere
  3. 16Kyriani Sabbe
  4. 10Leandro Trossard
  5. 11Loïs Openda
  6. 8Mandela Keita
  7. 22Matías Fernández-Pardo
  8. 5Maxim De Cuyper
  9. 7Mika Godts
  10. 13Mike Penders
  11. 1Senne Lammens
  12. 2Zeno Debast

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
66%Possession34%
23Shots5
8Shots on target2
6Shots off target3
9Blocked shots0
14Shots inside box3
9Shots outside box2
140Attacks67
114Dangerous attacks19
9Corners2
0Offsides1
4Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
1Saves5
692Passes363
625Accurate passes287
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
FranceFranceBelgiumBelgiumThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

France and Belgium met on matchday 4 of the UEFA Nations League on 5 October at Stade de France. Final score — 4:1.

France sit 1th on 10 points after 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches. Belgium sit 3th on 6 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses).

Of the last 3 meetings France won 3, Belgium won 0. Aggregate score — 5:1.

Season form

all competitions of the season
France France last five Belgium Belgium
WDWW form LWLW
4 Matches 4
3 — 1 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 2 — 0 — 2
7 — 2 Scored — conceded 6 — 5
2.5 Points per game 1.5
1.75 Goals scored per game 1.5
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 4 Current streak winless in 1

France at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 5—2, 2 points per match.

Belgium away: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 3—4, 1.5 points per match.

Head-to-head

3 matches in our database
3 France wins 0 draws 0 Belgium wins goals 5:1 France — Belgium
28/09/2026 Belgium — France 0:1 UEFA Nations League
14/10/2024 Belgium — France 1:2 UEFA Nations League
09/09/2024 France — Belgium 2:0 UEFA Nations League