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Flamengo — Fluminense, 11 October 2026, 20:30 UTC : score 1:0

match finished Serie A · Matchday 30 Sunday 11 October · 20:30 UTC
venue to be confirmed · referee R. Klein
Match predictionValue

Between 1 and 4 goals

85% · Margin of one goal or fewer in 3 of 3 meetings

Prediction landed. We predicted “Between 1 and 4 goals”, and the match finished 1:0.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Flamengo 54% draw 22% Fluminense 24%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Flamengo win, and the match finished 1:0. Fans backed Flamengo win — they got it right.

fans 70 votes
Flamengo 63% draw 13% Fluminense 24%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
E. Pulgar 31'
L. Acosta 39'
S. Niguez 49'
A. Canobbio 57'
PH Ganso for L. Acosta 60'
K. Serna for Y. Soteldo 60'
Bruno Henrique for Pedro 64'
J. Carrascal assist: Lucas Paqueta 1-0 65'
J. Freitas for S. Niguez 65'
Hulk for R. Castillo 69'
J. Savarino for A. Canobbio 69'
Wesley Nata for Martinelli 78'
N. de la Cruz for Samuel Lino 79'
G. Plata for Lucas Paqueta 79'
Ignacio 83'
Guilherme Arana 87'
J. Freitas 90+5'
Danilo for J. Carrascal 90'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Flamengo Flamengo 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 Fluminense Fluminense
1 Agustín Rossi
2 Guillermo Varela 3 Léo Ortiz 4 Léo Pereira 26 Alex Sandro
5 Erick Pulgar 8 Saúl Ñíguez
15 Jorge Carrascal 11 Lucas Paquetá 16 Samuel Lino
9 Pedro Guilherme
19 Rodrigo Castillo
17 Agustín Canobbio 32 Luciano Acosta 30 Yeferson Soteldo
16 Nonato 8 Matheus Martinelli
2 Samuel Xavier 4 Ignácio 29 Julián Millán 13 Guilherme Arana
1 Fábio
Flamengo bench
  1. 42Andrew
  2. 14Anthony Valencia
  3. 27Bruno Henrique
  4. 13Danilo
  5. 49Dyogo Alves
  6. 22Emerson Royal
  7. 19Gonzalo Plata
  8. 30Joaquín Freitas
  9. 77Johnny Goes
  10. 7Luiz Araújo
  11. 18Nicolás de la Cruz
  12. 44Vitão
Fluminense bench
  1. 10Ganso
  2. 23Guga
  3. 7Hulk
  4. 35Hércules
  5. 21Igor Rabello
  6. 11Jefferson Savarino
  7. 22Juan Pablo Freytes
  8. 90Kevin Serna
  9. 94Otávio
  10. 3Thiago Silva
  11. 98Vitor Eudes
  12. 34Wesley Natã

Match stats

19 metrics for the full match
43%Possession57%
17Shots11
6Shots on target3
7Shots off target4
4Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box6
9Shots outside box5
107Attacks84
58Dangerous attacks31
4Corners2
21Fouls18
3Yellow cards4
3Saves5
426Passes559
379Accurate passes498
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
FlamengoFlamengoFluminenseFluminenseThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Flamengo and Fluminense met on matchday 30 of the Serie A on 11 October. Final score — 1:0.

Flamengo sit 1th on 64 points after 32 matches (21 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses), unbeaten in 9 matches, 14 matches without conceding. Fluminense sit 4th on 51 points after 32 matches (14 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses), winless in 3 matches, 6 matches without conceding.

Of the last 3 meetings Flamengo won 2, Fluminense won 1. Aggregate score — 4:3.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Flamengo Flamengo last five Fluminense Fluminense
WWWDW form LLLWW
32 Matches 32
21 — 7 — 4 Wins — draws — defeats 14 — 9 — 9
64 — 27 Scored — conceded 50 — 41
2.19 Points per game 1.59
2 Goals scored per game 1.56
14 Clean sheets 6
2 Failed to score 4
unbeaten in 9 Current streak winless in 3

Flamengo at home: 16 matches, 12 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, goals 32—12, 2.44 points per match.

Fluminense away: 16 matches, 3 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses, goals 21—25, 0.94 points per match.

Head-to-head

3 matches in our database
2 Flamengo wins 0 draws 1 Fluminense win goals 4:3 Flamengo — Fluminense
12/04/2026 Fluminense — Flamengo 1:2 Serie A
20/11/2025 Fluminense — Flamengo 2:1 Serie A
20/07/2025 Flamengo — Fluminense 1:0 Serie A

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1PalmeirasPalmeiras32209356—2269
2FlamengoFlamengo31207461—2567
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051—4654
4Athletico ParanaenseAthletico Paranaense32159850—3854
5FluminenseFluminense31149849—3951
6Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro31148942—3550
Full Serie A table