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Finland — Albania, 3 October 2026, 13:00 UTC : score 2:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 3 Saturday 3 October · 13:00 UTC
Finland Finland 3th · 7 pts LWDW
2 : 1 1st half 1:1
Albania 1th · 9 pts WLWW Albania
Helsinki Olympic Stadium · referee R. Hennessy
Match predictionSafe

No rout: margin of two goals or fewer

91% · Finland games average 2.8 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “No rout: margin of two goals or fewer”, and the match finished 2:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Finland 28% draw 27% Albania 45%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Albania win, and the match finished 2:1. Fans backed Albania win — they got it wrong.

fans 45 votes
Finland 25% draw 14% Albania 61%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
R. Manaj assist: K. Asllani 0-1 4'
E. Berisha 22'
A. Sherri for A. Hoxha 25'
L. Walta 1-1 26'
A. Sherri 26'
K. Kairinen 40'
G. Kamara for K. Kairinen 46'
M. Daku for R. Manaj 46'
L. Vaisanen for T. Miettinen 62'
O. Jukkola for D. Hakans 62'
M. Uzuni for E. Muci 65'
L. Walta 2-1 71'
B. Djimsiti 74'
J. Shehu for K. Asllani 77'
A. Mehmeti for S. Pilo 77'
M. Uzuni 80'
R. Maran 81'
O. Valakari for L. Walta 82'
M. Peltola for A. Markhiev 89'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Finland Finland 4-3-3 3-4-3 Albania Albania
1 Lukáš Hrádecký
3 Adam Ståhl 4 Tony Miettinen 5 Samuli Miettinen 13 Juho Lähteenmäki
14 Kaan Kairinen 11 Adam Markhiev 10 Leo Walta
9 Adrian Svanback 20 Joel Pohjanpalo 22 Daniel Håkans
10 Ernest Muçi 7 Rey Manaj 21 Arber Hoxha
4 Elseid Hysaj 20 Ylber Ramadani 8 Kristjan Asllani 22 Stavros Pilios
6 Berat Djimsiti 18 Ardian Ismajli 3 Mario Mitaj
1 Etrit Berisha
Finland bench
  1. 16Anssi Suhonen
  2. 19Benjamin Källman
  3. 6Glen Kamara
  4. 15Leo Väisänen
  5. 23Lucas Bergström
  6. 2Matti Peltola
  7. 21Oiva Jukkola
  8. 8Onni Valakari
  9. 17Ryan Mahuta
  10. 7Santeri Väänänen
  11. 18Topi Keskinen
  12. 12Viljami Sinisalo
Albania bench
  1. 12Alen Sherri
  2. 9Anis Mehmeti
  3. 14Cristian Shpendi
  4. 2Feta Fetai
  5. 16Juljan Shehu
  6. 5Klisman Cake
  7. 15Marash Kumbulla
  8. 23Mario Dajsinani
  9. 19Mirlind Daku
  10. 11Myrto Uzuni
  11. 13Naser Aliji
  12. 17Taulant Seferi

Match stats

21 metrics for the full match
60%Possession40%
11Shots14
3Shots on target5
4Shots off target6
4Blocked shots3
3Shots inside box12
8Shots outside box2
123Attacks65
59Dangerous attacks28
7Corners6
1Offsides3
13Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
4Saves1
603Passes396
541Accurate passes335
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
FinlandFinlandAlbaniaAlbaniaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Finland and Albania met on matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on 3 October at Helsinki Olympic Stadium. Final score — 2:1.

Finland sit 3th on 7 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Albania sit 1th on 9 points after 4 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss).

Season form

all competitions of the season
Finland Finland last five Albania Albania
LWDW form WLWW
4 Matches 4
2 — 1 — 1 Wins — draws — defeats 3 — 0 — 1
9 — 2 Scored — conceded 8 — 3
1.75 Points per game 2.25
2.25 Goals scored per game 2
2 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 0
winless in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Finland at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 2—1, 2 points per match.

Albania away: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 4—2, 1.5 points per match.