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Estonia — Iceland, 6 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 0:0

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4 Tuesday 6 October · 18:45 UTC
A. Le Coq Arena · referee D. Dickinson
Match predictionSafe

This will not turn into a rout

92% · Estonia are unbeaten in 4 games

Prediction landed. We predicted “This will not turn into a rout”, and the match finished 0:0.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Estonia 27% draw 29% Iceland 44%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Iceland win, and the match finished 0:0. Fans backed Iceland win — they got it wrong.

fans 80 votes
Estonia 30% draw 18% Iceland 52%
Voting closed at kick-off

How the match went

text generated from our data

Estonia and Iceland met on matchday 4 of the UEFA Nations League on 6 October at A. Le Coq Arena. Final score — 0:0.

Estonia sit 2th on 6 points after 4 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches, 3 matches without conceding. Iceland sit 1th on 8 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches, 3 matches without conceding.

Of the last 1 meeting Estonia won 0, Iceland won 0, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 1:1.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Estonia Estonia last five Iceland Iceland
DWDD form DWWD
4 Matches 4
1 — 3 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 2 — 2 — 0
2 — 1 Scored — conceded 7 — 1
1.5 Points per game 2
0.5 Goals scored per game 1.75
3 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 4 Current streak unbeaten in 4

Estonia at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 1—0, 2 points per match.

Iceland away: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 3—0, 2 points per match.

Head-to-head

1 match in our database
0 Estonia wins 1 draw 0 Iceland wins goals 1:1 Estonia — Iceland
26/09/2026 Iceland — Estonia 1:1 UEFA Nations League