England — Spain, 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 2:3
No stalemate here
83%
Prediction landed. We predicted “No stalemate here”, and the match finished 2:3.
the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one
The most likely outcome was England win, and the match finished 2:3. Fans backed England win — they got it wrong.
Match events
full timelineLine-ups
starting eleven and bench- 4Alex Scott
- 19Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 21Eberechi Eze
- 18James Garner
- 15Jarrad Branthwaite
- 23Jason Steele
- 1Jordan Pickford
- 14Lewis Hall
- 20Morgan Gibbs-White
- 17Morgan Rogers
- 2Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 12Trevoh Chalobah
- 3Alejandro Grimaldo
- 15Alex Baena
- 1David Raya
- 2Dean Huijsen
- 9Fermín López
- 13Josep Martínez
- 18Martín Zubimendi
- 6Mikel Merino
- 21Mikel Oyarzabal
- 20Pedri
- 11Yéremy Pino
Match stats
20 metrics for the full matchHow the match went
text generated from our dataEngland and Spain met on matchday 1 of the UEFA Nations League on 26 September at Wembley Stadium. Final score — 2:3.
England sit 2th on 3 points after 4 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), unbeaten in 3 matches, 3 matches without conceding. Spain sit 1th on 6 points after 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches.
Season form
all competitions of the seasonEngland at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 5—3, 1.5 points per match.
Spain away: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 5—3, 3 points per match.