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Derby County — Stoke City, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC : score 0:1

match finished Championship · Matchday 11 Saturday 17 October · 14:00 UTC
Pride Park · referee O. Langford
Match predictionSafe

Derby County under 2.5 goals

93% · Derby County average 0.8 goals per game

Prediction landed. We predicted “Derby County under 2.5 goals”, and the match finished 0:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Derby County 30% draw 27% Stoke City 43%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Stoke City win, and the match finished 0:1. Fans backed Stoke City win — they got it right.

fans 36 votes
Derby County 28% draw 17% Stoke City 55%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
L. Graham assist: E. Galbraith 0-1 49'
D. Ozoh 76'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Derby County Derby County 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 Stoke City Stoke City
31 Josh Vickers
23 Joe Ward 24 Ryan Nyambe 28 Dion Sanderson 26 Ryan Hedges
4 David Ozoh 27 Lewis Travis
16 Mohammed Fuseini 8 Bobby Clark 11 Sammie Szmodics
9 Carlton Morris
7 Jack McGlynn 11 Lamine Cissé 13 Justin Devenny
2 Ben Johnson 27 Djibril Soumaré 8 Ethan Galbraith 17 Eric Bocat
18 Bosun Lawal 16 Ben Wilmot 5 Luke Graham
1 Viktor Johansson
Derby County bench
  1. 33Corey Blackett-Taylor
  2. 13Filip Bilbija
  3. 19Henrik Wendel Meister
  4. 43Isaac Gordon
  5. 15Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
  6. 29Oscar Fraulo
  7. 42Raymond Offor
  8. 10Rhian Brewster
  9. 12Richard O'Donnell
Stoke City bench
  1. 4Ben Pearson
  2. 15George Hirst
  3. 24Joshua Griffiths
  4. 10Jun-Ho Bae
  5. 22Junior Tchamadeu
  6. 21Luca Bombino
  7. 40Maksym Talovierov
  8. 42Million Manhoef
  9. 9Róbert Boženík

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
54%Possession46%
17Shots12
3Shots on target4
4Shots off target5
10Blocked shots3
14Shots inside box3
3Shots outside box9
116Attacks72
54Dangerous attacks47
6Corners4
2Offsides2
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
3Saves3
369Passes324
296Accurate passes245
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
Derby CountyDerby CountyStoke CityStoke CityThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Derby County and Stoke City met on matchday 11 of the Championship on 17 October at Pride Park. Final score — 0:1.

Derby County sit 23th on 6 points after 9 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 5 losses). Stoke City sit 6th on 19 points after 9 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), unbeaten in 5 matches, 3 matches without conceding.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Derby County Derby County last five Stoke City Stoke City
WLLDL form WWWDW
9 Matches 9
1 — 3 — 5 Wins — draws — defeats 7 — 1 — 1
9 — 19 Scored — conceded 15 — 8
0.67 Points per game 2.44
1 Goals scored per game 1.67
0 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 5

Derby County at home: 5 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, goals 5—9, 0.8 points per match.

Stoke City away: 5 matches, 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 9—4, 3 points per match.

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Stoke CityStoke City1592424—1829
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1484230—1928
…
22BurnleyBurnley1417618—2610
23Derby CountyDerby County1524914—3010
24Preston North EndPreston North End14121112—305
Full Championship table