Derby County — Stoke City, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC : score 0:1
No rout: margin of two goals or fewer
92% · Derby County are winless in 5 games
Prediction landed. We predicted “No rout: margin of two goals or fewer”, and the match finished 0:1.
the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one
The most likely outcome was Stoke City win, and the match finished 0:1. Fans backed Stoke City win — they got it right.
Match events
full timelineLine-ups
starting eleven and bench- 33Corey Blackett-Taylor
- 13Filip Bilbija
- 19Henrik Wendel Meister
- 43Isaac Gordon
- 15Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
- 29Oscar Fraulo
- 42Raymond Offor
- 10Rhian Brewster
- 12Richard O'Donnell
- 4Ben Pearson
- 15George Hirst
- 24Joshua Griffiths
- 10Jun-Ho Bae
- 22Junior Tchamadeu
- 21Luca Bombino
- 40Maksym Talovierov
- 42Million Manhoef
- 9Róbert Boženík
Match stats
20 metrics for the full matchHow the match went
text generated from our dataDerby County and Stoke City met on matchday 11 of the Championship on 17 October. Final score — 0:1.
Derby County sit 23th on 6 points after 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), winless in 5 matches. Stoke City sit 9th on 16 points after 5 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss).
Season form
all competitions of the seasonDerby County at home: 3 matches, 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, goals 2—4, 0.33 points per match.
Stoke City away: 3 matches, 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 5—2, 3 points per match.
League table
after the match| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21—10 | 16 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17—16 | 16 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15—13 | 15 | |
| … | |||||||
| 22 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8—19 | 8 | |
| 23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8—15 | 6 | |
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8—16 | 4 | |