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Derby County — Bolton Wanderers, 6 November 2026, 20:00 UTC : score 3:1

match finished Championship · Matchday 15 Friday 6 November · 20:00 UTC
Pride Park · referee J. Bell
Match predictionSafe

Derby County to lose by two at most

93% · Derby County games average 3.1 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Derby County to lose by two at most”, and the match finished 3:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Derby County 31% draw 25% Bolton Wanderers 44%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Bolton Wanderers win, and the match finished 3:1. Fans backed Bolton Wanderers win — they got it wrong.

fans 47 votes
Derby County 30% draw 14% Bolton Wanderers 56%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
R. Rodrigues assist: G. Larrazabal 0-1 42'
R. Nyambe assist: M. Fuseini 1-1 46'
J. Robinson assist: C. Morris 2-1 49'
L. Stephenson 62'
K. Dong for T. Gale 70'
S. Iling Junior for X. Simons 71'
A. Ito for L. Stephenson 71'
A. Mowatt for L. Travis 73'
T. Bair for A. Famewo 82'
R. Brewster 3-1 90+4'
G. Larrazabal 90+5'
R. Brewster 90+5'
M. Lott for R. Rodrigues 90+2'
O. Fraulo for M. Fuseini 90+3'
L. Salvesen for C. Morris 90+3'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Derby County Derby County 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers
1 Jacob Widell Zetterström
24 Ryan Nyambe 25 Shane Duffy 28 Dion Sanderson 14 Jack Robinson
27 Lewis Travis 4 David Ozoh
10 Rhian Brewster 8 Bobby Clark 16 Mohammed Fuseini
9 Carlton Morris
10 Sam Dalby
22 Gaizka Larrazabal 20 Rúben Rodrigues 11 Thierry Gale
4 Xavier Simons 8 Josh Sheehan
27 Luca Stephenson 3 Chris Forino 14 Akin Famewo 25 Max Conway
1 Jack Bonham
Derby County bench
  1. 20Alex Mowatt
  2. 33Corey Blackett-Taylor
  3. 13Filip Bilbija
  4. 43Isaac Gordon
  5. 31Josh Vickers
  6. 15Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
  7. 22Max Johnston
  8. 29Oscar Fraulo
  9. 45Rio Canoville
Bolton Wanderers bench
  1. 17Atsuki Ito
  2. 6Ben Davies
  3. 23David Harrington
  4. 12David Watson
  5. 7Kyliane Dong
  6. 5Lewis Brunt
  7. 35Max Lott
  8. 16Samuel Iling Junior
  9. 9Theo Bair

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
30%Possession70%
9Shots17
5Shots on target6
3Shots off target5
1Blocked shots6
8Shots inside box10
1Shots outside box7
64Attacks128
33Dangerous attacks50
4Corners6
4Offsides1
12Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
5Saves2
232Passes554
160Accurate passes484
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
Derby CountyDerby CountyBolton WanderersBolton WanderersThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Derby County and Bolton Wanderers met on matchday 15 of the Championship on 6 November at Pride Park. Final score — 3:1.

Derby County sit 23th on 10 points after 9 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 5 losses). Bolton Wanderers sit 17th on 17 points after 9 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses), 3 matches without conceding.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Derby County Derby County last five Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers
WLLDL form LWLLD
9 Matches 9
1 — 3 — 5 Wins — draws — defeats 4 — 1 — 4
9 — 19 Scored — conceded 14 — 17
0.67 Points per game 1.44
1 Goals scored per game 1.56
0 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 1
unbeaten in 1 Current streak winless in 1

Derby County at home: 5 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, goals 5—9, 0.8 points per match.

Bolton Wanderers away: 5 matches, 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, goals 9—7, 2 points per match.

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Bristol CityBristol City1553716—2418
17Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers1552820—2917
18Cardiff CityCardiff City1436522—2315
…
22BurnleyBurnley1417618—2610
23Derby CountyDerby County1524914—3010
24Preston North EndPreston North End14121112—305
Full Championship table