Derby County — Birmingham City, 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC : score 1:2
Derby County under 2.5 goals
90%
Prediction landed. We predicted “Derby County under 2.5 goals”, and the match finished 1:2.
the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one
The most likely outcome was Birmingham City win, and the match finished 1:2. Fans backed Birmingham City win — they got it right.
Match events
full timelineLine-ups
starting eleven and bench- 20Alex Mowatt
- 33Corey Blackett-Taylor
- 28Dion Sanderson
- 31Josh Vickers
- 15Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
- 22Max Johnston
- 29Oscar Fraulo
- 26Ryan Hedges
- 24Ryan Nyambe
- 23Dael Fry
- 2Ethan Laird
- 27Kanya Fujimoto
- 25Kristoffer Lund
- 3Lee Buchanan
- 32Luis Vázquez
- 33Marvin Ducksch
- 21Ryan Allsop
- 8Seung Ho Paik
Match stats
20 metrics for the full matchHow the match went
text generated from our dataDerby County and Birmingham City met on matchday 7 of the Championship on 12 September at Pride Park. Final score — 1:2.
Derby County sit 22th on 4 points after 6 matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), winless in 6 matches. Birmingham City sit 11th on 10 points after 6 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), 3 matches without conceding.
Season form
all competitions of the seasonDerby County at home: 3 matches, 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, goals 2—4, 0.33 points per match.
Birmingham City away: 3 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 3—2, 2 points per match.
League table
after the match| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30—12 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20—11 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15—12 | 20 | |
| … | |||||||
| 22 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16—21 | 8 | |
| 23 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10—21 | 7 | |
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8—16 | 4 | |