Derby County — Birmingham City, 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC : score 1:2
Derby County under 2.5 goals
90%
Prediction landed. We predicted “Derby County under 2.5 goals”, and the match finished 1:2.
the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one
The most likely outcome was Birmingham City win, and the match finished 1:2. Fans backed Birmingham City win — they got it right.
Match events
full timelineLine-ups
starting eleven and bench- 20Alex Mowatt
- 33Corey Blackett-Taylor
- 28Dion Sanderson
- 31Josh Vickers
- 15Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
- 22Max Johnston
- 29Oscar Fraulo
- 26Ryan Hedges
- 24Ryan Nyambe
- 23Dael Fry
- 2Ethan Laird
- 27Kanya Fujimoto
- 25Kristoffer Lund
- 3Lee Buchanan
- 32Luis Vázquez
- 33Marvin Ducksch
- 21Ryan Allsop
- 8Seung Ho Paik
Match stats
20 metrics for the full matchHow the match went
text generated from our dataDerby County and Birmingham City met on matchday 7 of the Championship on 12 September at Pride Park. Final score — 1:2.
Derby County sit 22th on 4 points after 2 matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Birmingham City sit 11th on 10 points after 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses).
Season form
all competitions of the seasonDerby County at home: 1 match, 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 1—2, 0 points per match.
Birmingham City away: 1 match, 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 2—1, 3 points per match.
League table
after the match| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7—10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12—11 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15—15 | 11 | |
| … | |||||||
| 21 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7—12 | 7 | |
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7—14 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8—15 | 4 | |