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Denmark — Portugal, 1 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 2:4

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 3 Thursday 1 October · 18:45 UTC
Denmark Denmark 2th · 6 pts WLWL
2 : 4 1st half 1:2
Portugal 1th · 12 pts WWWW Portugal
Parken Stadium · referee M. Balakin
Match predictionValue

This will not turn into a rout

86% · Portugal have won 4 in a row

Prediction landed. We predicted “This will not turn into a rout”, and the match finished 2:4.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Denmark 27% draw 23% Portugal 50%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Portugal win, and the match finished 2:4. Fans backed Portugal win — they got it right.

fans 79 votes
Denmark 23% draw 12% Portugal 65%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
J. Cancelo assist: G. Ramos 0-1 13'
M. Damsgaard assist: J. Maehle 1-1 23'
G. Ramos assist: B. Fernandes 1-2 25'
R. Hojlund assist: M. Damsgaard 2-2 53'
Vitinha assist: B. Fernandes 2-3 67'
J. Jesus 69'
M. Daramy 80'
R. Neves 82'
Joao Felix assist: D. Dalot 2-4 87'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Denmark Denmark 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 Portugal Portugal
16 Mads Hermansen
13 Rasmus Kristensen 2 Joachim Andersen 3 Oliver Provstgaard 5 Joakim Mæhle
21 Morten Hjulmand 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
17 Adam Daghim 14 Mikkel Damsgaard 20 Mohamed Daramy
9 Rasmus Højlund
9 Gonçalo Ramos
18 Pedro Neto 8 Bruno Fernandes 7 Rafael Leão
21 Rúben Neves 23 Vitinha
20 João Cancelo 3 Rúben Dias 13 Renato Veiga 19 Nuno Mendes
1 Diogo Costa
Denmark bench
  1. 1Andreas Jungdal
  2. 11Andreas Skov Olsen
  3. 18Anton Gaaei
  4. 22Filip Jørgensen
  5. 8Gustav Isaksen
  6. 19Kasper Høgh
  7. 4Lucas Høgsberg
  8. 12Mads Bidstrup
  9. 15Nikolas Nartey
  10. 10Thomas Jørgensen
  11. 7Victor Froholdt
  12. 6Victor Nelsson
Portugal bench
  1. 10Bernardo Silva
  2. 2Diogo Dalot
  3. 16Francisco Trincão
  4. 17Fábio Silva
  5. 14Gonçalo Inácio
  6. 11João Félix
  7. 15João Neves
  8. 6João Palhinha
  9. 5Nuno Tavares
  10. 12Rui Silva
  11. 22Samuel Soares
  12. 4Tomás Araújo

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
54%Possession46%
12Shots19
3Shots on target10
6Shots off target4
3Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box13
7Shots outside box6
96Attacks84
59Dangerous attacks35
3Corners7
2Offsides2
6Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
6Saves1
527Passes447
457Accurate passes374
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
DenmarkDenmarkPortugalPortugalThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Denmark and Portugal met on matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on 1 October at Parken Stadium. Final score — 2:4.

Denmark sit 2th on 6 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Portugal sit 1th on 12 points after 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches.

Of the last 2 meetings Denmark won 1, Portugal won 1. Aggregate score — 3:5.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Denmark Denmark last five Portugal Portugal
WLWL form WWWW
4 Matches 4
2 — 0 — 2 Wins — draws — defeats 4 — 0 — 0
7 — 7 Scored — conceded 9 — 4
1.5 Points per game 3
1.75 Goals scored per game 2.25
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
unbeaten in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 4

Denmark at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 4—4, 1.5 points per match.

Portugal away: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 6—3, 3 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
1 Denmark win 0 draws 1 Portugal win goals 3:5 Denmark — Portugal
23/03/2025 Portugal — Denmark 5:2 UEFA Nations League
20/03/2025 Denmark — Portugal 1:0 UEFA Nations League