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Bulgaria — Luxembourg, 26 September 2026, 16:00 UTC : score 1:2

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 1 Saturday 26 September · 16:00 UTC
venue to be confirmed · referee Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Match predictionValue

Neither team to score 3+

85%

Prediction landed. We predicted “Neither team to score 3+”, and the match finished 1:2.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Bulgaria 23% draw 29% Luxembourg 48%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Luxembourg win, and the match finished 1:2. Fans backed Luxembourg win — they got it right.

fans 50 votes
Bulgaria 23% draw 18% Luxembourg 59%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
A. Chandarov assist: D. Velkovski 1-0 18'
L. Petkov 28'
E. Tsenov 35'
L. Barreiro 1-1 37'
T. de Sousa 45+2'
S. Ivanov for G. Rusev 46'
T. Rupil for D. Sinani 46'
M. Minchev for A. Chandarov 56'
V. Thill 1-2 65'
M. Petkov for Z. Dimitrov 68'
P. Panayotov for E. Tsenov 68'
M. Olesen for V. Thill 72'
S. Velkov for T. Ivanov 82'
D. Carlson 83'
S. Thill for H. Kadamani 83'
J. Videira for A. Dardari 83'
M. Goncalves for T. de Sousa 90+1'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Bulgaria Bulgaria 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · Jeff Strasser Luxembourg Luxembourg
1 Daniel Naumov
19 Ivan Turitsov 5 Kristian Dimitrov 15 Teodor Ivanov 21 Dimitar Velkovski
6 Emil Tsenov 4 Ilia Gruev 14 Asen Chandarov
11 Georgi Rusev 20 Lukas Petkov 10 Zdravko Dimitrov
17 Hamza Kadamani
11 Vincent Thill 10 Danel Sinani 7 Aiman Dardari
6 Tomas de Sousa Moreira 16 Leandro Barreiro
18 Laurent Jans 3 Enes Mahmutović 13 Dirk Carlson 4 Florian Bohnert
1 Anthony Moris
Bulgaria bench
  1. 23Aleks Bozhev
  2. 3Andrea Hristov
  3. 8Andrian Kraev
  4. 12Dimitar Mitov
  5. 18Kristiyan Balov
  6. 22Kristiyan Stoyanov
  7. 16Marin Petkov
  8. 17Martin Minchev
  9. 7Petko Panayotov
  10. 9Stanislav Ivanov
  11. 13Stefan Velkov
  12. 2Yoni Stoyanov
Luxembourg bench
  1. 2Eldin Džogović
  2. 14Eric Veiga
  3. 9Jayson Videira Pereira
  4. 23Lucas Fox
  5. 22Marvin Martins
  6. 19Mathias Olesen
  7. 8Miguel Fernandes Gonçalves
  8. 15Omar Natami
  9. 21Sebastien Thill
  10. 12Tiago Pereira Cardoso
  11. 20Timothé Rupil
  12. 5Vahid Selimović

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
50%Possession50%
10Shots15
7Shots on target7
3Shots off target4
0Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box11
4Shots outside box4
100Attacks80
31Dangerous attacks33
5Corners4
3Offsides2
10Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
5Saves6
414Passes421
342Accurate passes347
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
BulgariaBulgariaLuxembourgLuxembourgThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Bulgaria and Luxembourg met on matchday 1 of the UEFA Nations League on 26 September. Final score — 1:2.

Bulgaria sit 3th on 0 points after 1 match (0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Luxembourg sit 1th on 0 points after 1 match (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses).

Of the last 2 meetings Bulgaria won 1, Luxembourg won 0, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 1:0.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Bulgaria Bulgaria last five Luxembourg Luxembourg
L form W
1 Matches 1
0 — 0 — 1 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 0 — 0
1 — 2 Scored — conceded 2 — 1
0 Points per game 3
1 Goals scored per game 2
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
winless in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Bulgaria at home: 1 match, 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 1—2, 0 points per match.

Luxembourg away: 1 match, 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses, goals 2—1, 3 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
1 Bulgaria win 1 draw 0 Luxembourg wins goals 1:0 Bulgaria — Luxembourg
15/11/2024 Luxembourg — Bulgaria 0:1 UEFA Nations League
12/10/2024 Bulgaria — Luxembourg 0:0 UEFA Nations League