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Bulgaria — Estonia, 29 September 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 0:0

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 2 Tuesday 29 September · 18:45 UTC
Bulgaria Bulgaria 4th · 1 pts WLDL
0 : 0 1st half 0:0
Estonia 2th · 5 pts DWDD Estonia
Stadion Hristo Botev · referee G. Kikacheishvili
Match predictionSafe

Estonia will not reach three goals

93% · Estonia average 0.7 goals per game

Prediction landed. We predicted “Estonia will not reach three goals”, and the match finished 0:0.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Bulgaria 28% draw 32% Estonia 40%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Estonia win, and the match finished 0:0. Fans backed Estonia win — they got it wrong.

fans 59 votes
Bulgaria 26% draw 23% Estonia 51%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
D. Velkovski 9'
B. Tsonev 37'
M. Paskotsi 48'
P. Kristal 89'
K. Dimitrov 90'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Bulgaria Bulgaria 4-3-3 5-3-2 Estonia Estonia
1 Daniel Naumov
19 Ivan Turitsov 5 Kristian Dimitrov 13 Stefan Velkov 21 Dimitar Velkovski
4 Ilia Gruev 22 Kristiyan Stoyanov 7 Borislav Tsonev
16 Marin Petkov 20 Lukas Petkov 10 Zdravko Dimitrov
14 Patrik Kristal 9 Karel Mustmaa
4 Mattias Käit 8 Markus Soomets 20 Markus Poom
7 Robi Saarma 3 Maksim Paskotsi 5 Erko Tõugjas 18 Karol Mets 19 Michael Schjønning-Larsen
1 Karl Hein
Bulgaria bench
  1. 23Aleks Bozhev
  2. 3Andrea Hristov
  3. 8Andrian Kraev
  4. 14Asen Chandarov
  5. 12Dimitar Mitov
  6. 6Emil Tsenov
  7. 15Hristiyan Petrov
  8. 18Kristiyan Balov
  9. 17Martin Minchev
  10. 11Petko Panayotov
  11. 9Stanislav Ivanov
  12. 2Yoni Stoyanov
Estonia bench
  1. 23Frank Liivak
  2. 16Joonas Tamm
  3. 13Joseph Saliste
  4. 22Karl Andre Vallner
  5. 10Kevor Palumets
  6. 15Maksimilian Skvortsov
  7. 17Martin Miller
  8. 21Mattias Männilaan
  9. 12Matvei Igonen
  10. 11Mihkel Ainsalu
  11. 2Märten Kuusk
  12. 6Rasmus Peetson

Match stats

19 metrics for the full match
56%Possession44%
2Shots1
Shots on target
2Shots off target1
Blocked shots
Shots inside box
2Shots outside box1
98Attacks79
52Dangerous attacks34
1Corners3
0Offsides1
3Fouls7
1Yellow cards0
195Passes146
165Accurate passes112
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
BulgariaBulgariaEstoniaEstoniaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Bulgaria and Estonia met on matchday 2 of the UEFA Nations League on 29 September at Stadion Hristo Botev. Final score — 0:0.

Bulgaria sit 4th on 1 point after 4 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses). Estonia sit 2th on 5 points after 4 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches, 3 matches without conceding.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Bulgaria Bulgaria last five Estonia Estonia
WLDL form DWDD
4 Matches 4
1 — 1 — 2 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 3 — 0
3 — 5 Scored — conceded 2 — 1
1 Points per game 1.5
0.75 Goals scored per game 0.5
2 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 2
unbeaten in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 4

Bulgaria at home: 2 matches, 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, goals 1—2, 0.5 points per match.

Estonia away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, goals 1—1, 1 points per match.