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Botafogo — Grêmio, 16 September 2026, 22:30 UTC : score 3:2

match finished Serie A · Matchday 21 Wednesday 16 September · 22:30 UTC
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos · referee E. Batista
Match predictionValue

Goals, but not too many: one to four

84% · Margin of one goal or fewer in 2 of 3 meetings

Prediction missed. We predicted “Goals, but not too many: one to four”, and the match finished 3:2.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Botafogo 48% draw 26% Grêmio 26%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Botafogo win, and the match finished 3:2. Fans backed Botafogo win — they got it right.

fans 60 votes
Botafogo 62% draw 16% Grêmio 22%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
Danilo Santos assist: A. Montoro 1-0 30'
J. Cabral 1-1 36'
G. Justino for L. Monzon 46'
Danilo Pereira for Edenilson 46'
A. Montoro assist: Vitinho 2-1 52'
J. Enamorado for J. Cabral 60'
M. Braithwaite for F. Krovinovic 66'
Marcal for Junior Santos 73'
M. Villasanti 78'
Tete for C. Pavon 78'
Matheus Nascimento for E. Noriega 78'
Danilo Santos assist: A. Montoro 3-1 79'
Allan for A. Montoro 85'
Tiquinho Soares for Arthur Cabral 86'
Gustavo Martins assist: Tete 3-2 88'
Danilo Pereira 90+4'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Botafogo Botafogo 4-2-3-1 · Franclim Carvalho 4-2-3-1 · Luiz Scolari Grêmio Grêmio
12 Gabriel Batista
2 Vitinho 3 Arthur Chaves 33 Lucas Monzón 13 Alex Telles
75 Huguinho 8 Danilo Santos
7 Júnior Santos 88 Edenilson 10 Álvaro Montoro
19 Arthur Cabral
95 Carlos Vinícius
7 Cristian Pavón 10 Filip Krovinović 77 Jovane Cabral
8 Erick Noriega 20 Mathias Villasanti
27 Diego Caito 6 Gustavo Martins 82 Wallace 38 Caio Paulista
1 Weverton
Botafogo bench
  1. 25Allan
  2. 90Danilo Pereira
  3. 91Domingos Andrade
  4. 34Gabriel Justino
  5. 42Kadu Santos
  6. 59Kauan Toledo
  7. 79Lucas Emanuel
  8. 77Lucas Villalba
  9. 21Marçal
  10. 29Paulinho
  11. 9Tiquinho Soares
  12. 17Warleson
Grêmio bench
  1. 15Danilo Barbosa
  2. 12Gabriel Grando
  3. 31Gabriel Menegon
  4. 99José Enamorado
  5. 18João Pedro
  6. 5Juan Nardoni
  7. 14Marcos Rocha
  8. 22Martin Braithwaite
  9. 30Matheus Nascimento
  10. 11Tetê
  11. 3Wagner Leonardo
  12. 4Walter Kannemann

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
36%Possession64%
10Shots13
7Shots on target3
2Shots off target8
1Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box8
4Shots outside box5
91Attacks140
21Dangerous attacks37
3Corners3
0Offsides2
13Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
1Saves4
368Passes646
286Accurate passes571
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
BotafogoBotafogoGrêmioGrêmioThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Botafogo and Grêmio met on matchday 21 of the Serie A on 16 September at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Final score — 3:2.

Botafogo sit 12th on 35 points after 28 matches (9 wins, 8 draws, 11 losses), 4 matches without conceding. Grêmio sit 17th on 29 points after 28 matches (7 wins, 8 draws, 13 losses), winless in 4 matches, 6 matches without conceding.

Of the last 3 meetings Botafogo won 1, Grêmio won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 7:8.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Botafogo Botafogo last five Grêmio Grêmio
LWDDL form DLLLW
28 Matches 28
9 — 8 — 11 Wins — draws — defeats 7 — 8 — 13
41 — 45 Scored — conceded 30 — 38
1.25 Points per game 1.04
1.46 Goals scored per game 1.07
4 Clean sheets 6
7 Failed to score 10
winless in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Botafogo at home: 14 matches, 5 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses, goals 24—20, 1.5 points per match.

Grêmio away: 14 matches, 0 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses, goals 8—22, 0.29 points per match.

Head-to-head

3 matches in our database
1 Botafogo win 1 draw 1 Grêmio win goals 7:8 Botafogo — Grêmio
05/02/2026 Grêmio — Botafogo 5:3 Serie A
22/11/2025 Botafogo — Grêmio 3:2 Serie A
24/09/2025 Grêmio — Botafogo 1:1 Serie A

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11São PauloSão Paulo271061132—3036
12BotafogoBotafogo28981141—4535
13VitóriaVitória27961227—3933
…
16Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama27871234—4131
17GrêmioGrêmio28781330—3829
18InternacionalInternacional276101130—3528
Full Serie A table