Botafogo — Grêmio, 16 September 2026, 22:30 UTC : score 3:2
Goals, but not too many: one to four
84% · Margin of one goal or fewer in 2 of 3 meetings
Prediction missed. We predicted “Goals, but not too many: one to four”, and the match finished 3:2.
the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one
The most likely outcome was Botafogo win, and the match finished 3:2. Fans backed Botafogo win — they got it right.
Match events
full timelineLine-ups
starting eleven and bench- 25Allan
- 90Danilo Pereira
- 91Domingos Andrade
- 34Gabriel Justino
- 42Kadu Santos
- 59Kauan Toledo
- 79Lucas Emanuel
- 77Lucas Villalba
- 21Marçal
- 29Paulinho
- 9Tiquinho Soares
- 17Warleson
- 15Danilo Barbosa
- 12Gabriel Grando
- 31Gabriel Menegon
- 99José Enamorado
- 18João Pedro
- 5Juan Nardoni
- 14Marcos Rocha
- 22Martin Braithwaite
- 30Matheus Nascimento
- 11Tetê
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 4Walter Kannemann
Match stats
20 metrics for the full matchHow the match went
text generated from our dataBotafogo and Grêmio met on matchday 21 of the Serie A on 16 September at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Final score — 3:2.
Botafogo sit 12th on 35 points after 32 matches (10 wins, 9 draws, 13 losses), 5 matches without conceding. Grêmio sit 17th on 29 points after 32 matches (8 wins, 10 draws, 14 losses), 7 matches without conceding.
Of the last 3 meetings Botafogo won 1, Grêmio won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 7:8.
Season form
all competitions of the seasonBotafogo at home: 16 matches, 6 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses, goals 26—22, 1.5 points per match.
Grêmio away: 16 matches, 1 win, 5 draws, 10 losses, goals 10—23, 0.5 points per match.
Head-to-head
3 matches in our database| 05/02/2026 | Grêmio — Botafogo | 5:3 | Serie A |
| 22/11/2025 | Botafogo — Grêmio | 3:2 | Serie A |
| 24/09/2025 | Grêmio — Botafogo | 1:1 | Serie A |
League table
after the match| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39—36 | 41 | |
| 11 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44—48 | 39 | |
| 12 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38—49 | 39 | |
| … | |||||||
| 17 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32—39 | 33 | |
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32—40 | 31 | |
| 19 | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34—49 | 26 | |