Botafogo — Grêmio, 16 September 2026, 22:30 UTC : score 3:2
Goals, but not too many: one to four
84% · Margin of one goal or fewer in 2 of 3 meetings
Prediction missed. We predicted “Goals, but not too many: one to four”, and the match finished 3:2.
the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one
The most likely outcome was Botafogo win, and the match finished 3:2. Fans backed Botafogo win — they got it right.
Match events
full timelineLine-ups
starting eleven and bench- 25Allan
- 90Danilo Pereira
- 91Domingos Andrade
- 34Gabriel Justino
- 42Kadu Santos
- 59Kauan Toledo
- 79Lucas Emanuel
- 77Lucas Villalba
- 21Marçal
- 29Paulinho
- 9Tiquinho Soares
- 17Warleson
- 15Danilo Barbosa
- 12Gabriel Grando
- 31Gabriel Menegon
- 99José Enamorado
- 18João Pedro
- 5Juan Nardoni
- 14Marcos Rocha
- 22Martin Braithwaite
- 30Matheus Nascimento
- 11Tetê
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 4Walter Kannemann
Match stats
20 metrics for the full matchHow the match went
text generated from our dataBotafogo and Grêmio met on matchday 21 of the Serie A on 16 September at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Final score — 3:2.
Botafogo sit 11th on 35 points after 27 matches (9 wins, 8 draws, 10 losses), unbeaten in 3 matches, 4 matches without conceding. Grêmio sit 16th on 28 points after 27 matches (7 wins, 7 draws, 13 losses), winless in 3 matches, 5 matches without conceding.
Of the last 3 meetings Botafogo won 1, Grêmio won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 7:8.
Season form
all competitions of the seasonBotafogo at home: 14 matches, 5 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses, goals 24—20, 1.5 points per match.
Grêmio away: 14 matches, 0 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses, goals 8—22, 0.29 points per match.
Head-to-head
3 matches in our database| 05/02/2026 | Grêmio — Botafogo | 5:3 | Serie A |
| 22/11/2025 | Botafogo — Grêmio | 3:2 | Serie A |
| 24/09/2025 | Grêmio — Botafogo | 1:1 | Serie A |
League table
after the match| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39—39 | 35 | |
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41—43 | 35 | |
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31—30 | 33 | |
| … | |||||||
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31—42 | 29 | |
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28—35 | 28 | |
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29—41 | 28 | |