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Bosnia-Herzegovina — Sweden, 2 October 2026, 18:45 UTC : score 1:1

match finished UEFA Nations League · Matchday 3 Friday 2 October · 18:45 UTC
Bilino Polje · referee O. Derevinskyi
Match predictionBold

Sweden to avoid defeat and over 1.5 goals

78% · Bosnia-Herzegovina are unbeaten in 4 games

Prediction landed. We predicted “Sweden to avoid defeat and over 1.5 goals”, and the match finished 1:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Bosnia-Herzegovina 13% draw 18% Sweden 69%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Sweden win, and the match finished 1:1. Fans backed Sweden win — they got it wrong.

fans 41 votes
Bosnia-Herzegovina 13% draw 7% Sweden 80%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
V. Gyokeres assist: A. Bernhardsson 0-1 61'
K. Alajbegovic 1-1 80'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Bosnia-Herzegovina Bosnia-Herzegovina 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 Sweden Sweden
12 Salko Hamzić
15 Amar Memić 18 Nikola Katić 4 Tarik Muharemović 5 Sead Kolašinac
8 Armin Gigović 13 Ivan Bašić
20 Esmir Bajraktarević 10 Ermedin Demirović 19 Kerim Alajbegović
11 Edin Džeko
17 Viktor Gyökeres 22 Besfort Zeneli
21 Alexander Bernhardsson 16 Jesper Karlström 20 Hugo Larsson 19 Sebastian Nanasi
14 Hampus Skoglund 15 Carl Starfelt 3 Victor Lindelöf 5 Gabriel Gudmundsson
12 Viktor Johansson
Bosnia-Herzegovina bench
  1. 3Arjan Malić
  2. 16Ermin Mahmić
  3. 23Haris Tabaković
  4. 14Ivan Šunjić
  5. 9Jovo Lukić
  6. 17Luka Đurić
  7. 22Martin Zlomislić
  8. 1Mladen Jurkas
  9. 7Nail Omerović
  10. 2Nihad Mujakić
  11. 21Stjepan Radeljić
  12. 6Zinedin Smajlović
Sweden bench
  1. 8Daniel Svensson
  2. 4Eric Smith
  3. 2Felix Beijmo
  4. 10Hugo Bolin
  5. 13Ken Sema
  6. 7Lucas Bergvall
  7. 23Melker Ellborg
  8. 1Noel Törnqvist
  9. 9Paulos Abraham
  10. 18Samuel Dahl
  11. 11Williot Swedberg

Match stats

19 metrics for the full match
51%Possession49%
4Shots8
2Shots on target4
0Shots off target2
2Blocked shots2
2Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box2
75Attacks88
28Dangerous attacks32
4Corners0
0Offsides1
8Fouls11
3Saves1
471Passes466
390Accurate passes408
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
Bosnia-HerzegovinaBosnia-HerzegovinaSwedenSwedenThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Bosnia-Herzegovina and Sweden met on matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on 2 October at Bilino Polje. Final score — 1:1.

Bosnia-Herzegovina sit 2th on 8 points after 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches. Sweden sit 1th on 10 points after 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), unbeaten in 4 matches.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Bosnia-Herzegovina Bosnia-Herzegovina last five Sweden Sweden
WDWD form WDWW
4 Matches 4
2 — 2 — 0 Wins — draws — defeats 3 — 1 — 0
6 — 3 Scored — conceded 7 — 3
2 Points per game 2.5
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.75
2 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
unbeaten in 4 Current streak unbeaten in 4

Bosnia-Herzegovina at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 2—1, 2 points per match.

Sweden away: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 2—1, 2 points per match.