Bahia — São Paulo 3:2, 29 October: match result

match finished Serie A · Matchday 33 Thursday 29 October · 00:30 UTC

Bahia 6th · 53 pts LWDLW

3 : 2 1st half 2:2

São Paulo 10th · 43 pts DLDWW

Arena Fonte Nova · referee A. Daronco

Match predictionSafe

The sides to finish within two goals

90% · Bahia games average 2.7 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “The sides to finish within two goals”, and the match finished 3:2.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off

Bahia 48% draw 26% São Paulo 26%

The model was right

The most likely outcome was Bahia win, and the match finished 3:2. Fans backed Bahia win — they got it right.

fans 60 votes

Bahia 59% draw 16% São Paulo 25%

Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline

Rodrigo assist: Jean Lucas 1-0 6'

Erick Pulga assist: Marcos Victor 2-0 10'

Lucas Moura assist: Jonathan Calleri 2-1 43'

D. Bobadilla 2-2 45+5'

Erick for Nicolas Acevedo 56'

Everton Ribeiro for Jean Lucas 56'

Ademir for Erick Pulga 56'

Marcos Victor 69'

Sabino 70'

Djhordney for Luciano 70'

Caio Alexandre for Rodrigo 74'

Marcos Victor assist: Erick 3-2 81'

G. Santana for Sabino 82'

Victor Sa for Wendell 82'

Danielzinho for Pablo Maia 82'

Cauly for D. Bobadilla 82'

Michel Araujo for C. Olivera 88'

G. Santana 90+1'

Lucas Moura 90+2'

Dorival Junior 90+3'

David Duarte 90+6'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench

Bahia 5-3-2 3-4-2-1 São Paulo

Ronaldo  
Cristian Olivera  44 Marcos Victor  33 David Duarte  3 Marco Moreno  46 Luciano Juba  
Jean Lucas  5 Nicolás Acevedo  11 Rodrigo Nestor  
Alejo Véliz  16 Erick Pulga  

Jonathan Calleri  
Luciano  7 Lucas Moura  
Pedro Lima  16 Damián Bobadilla  29 Pablo Maia  18 Wendell  
Newton  5 Robert Arboleda  35 Sabino  
Rafael  

Bahia bench

7Ademir
8Caio Alexandre
14Erick
27Everaldo
10Everton Ribeiro
17Guido Herrera
66José Guilherme
43Luiz Gustavo
23Mateo Sanabria
15Michel Araújo
31Román Gómez
77Ruan Pablo

São Paulo bench

17André Silva
31Carlos Coronel
80Cauly
94Danielzinho
48Djhordney
43Gustavo Santana
19Lucas Ramon
54Luis Osorio
46Pedro Ferreira
2Rafael Tolói
49Ryan Francisco
27Victor Sá

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match

47%Possession53%

13Shots14

4Shots on target6

5Shots off target4

4Blocked shots4

10Shots inside box8

3Shots outside box6

106Attacks125

43Dangerous attacks43

7Corners11

0Offsides3

12Fouls13

2Yellow cards3

4Saves1

430Passes496

347Accurate passes425

0Free kicks0

0Throw-ins0

0Goal kicks0

0Penalties0

Bahia

São PauloThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Bahia and São Paulo met on matchday 33 of the Serie A on 29 October at Arena Fonte Nova. Final score — 3:2.

Bahia sit 6th on 53 points after 34 matches (14 wins, 11 draws, 9 losses), 9 matches without conceding. São Paulo sit 10th on 43 points after 33 matches (11 wins, 8 draws, 14 losses), winless in 3 matches, 8 matches without conceding.

Of the last 2 meetings Bahia won 0, São Paulo won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 2:4.

Season form

all competitions of the season

Bahia last five São Paulo

LWDLW form DLDWW

34 Matches 33

14 — 11 — 9 Wins — draws — defeats 11 — 8 — 14

50 — 45 Scored — conceded 37 — 38

1.56 Points per game 1.24

1.47 Goals scored per game 1.12

9 Clean sheets 8

5 Failed to score 8

winless in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 1

Bahia at home: 17 matches, 8 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses, goals 26—19, 1.76 points per match.

São Paulo away: 16 matches, 1 win, 4 draws, 11 losses, goals 12—25, 0.44 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database

0 Bahia wins 1 draw 1 São Paulo win goals 2:4 Bahia — São Paulo

03/05/2026	São Paulo — Bahia	2:2	Serie A
26/10/2025	São Paulo — Bahia	2:0	Serie A

League table

after the match

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
5	Athletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51—43	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50—45	53
7	Atlético Mineiro	34	14	8	12	44—40	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44—39	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50—49	47
10	São Paulo	34	12	8	14	39—39	44

Full Serie A table

Bahia — São Paulo, 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC : score 3:2