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Atlético Mineiro — Santos, 11 October 2026, 19:00 UTC : score 2:1

match finished Serie A · Matchday 30 Sunday 11 October · 19:00 UTC
MRV Arena · referee A. Gomes Stefano
Match predictionValue

Santos under 2.5 goals

88% · Santos games average 3 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Santos under 2.5 goals”, and the match finished 2:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Atlético Mineiro 43% draw 24% Santos 33%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Atlético Mineiro win, and the match finished 2:1. Fans backed Atlético Mineiro win — they got it right.

fans 66 votes
Atlético Mineiro 58% draw 12% Santos 30%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
Luan Peres for Willian Arao 8'
A. Franco 45+2'
Lucas Verissimo 45+4'
A. Minda for Victor Hugo 46'
Rony for B. Rollheiser 46'
T. Borbas 66'
Luan Peres 66'
Maycon for K. Castano 69'
M. Cisse for A. Franco 69'
Igor Gomes 70'
A. Preciado for Natanael 70'
Coutinho for Gabriel Bontempo 72'
Joao Schmidt for Gustavo Henrique 72'
Dudu for Alexsander 82'
Joao Schmidt 85'
A. Barreal for Everton 85'
Gabriel Barbosa assist: Coutinho 0-1 88'
Gabriel Barbosa 89'
Willian Arao 89'
Vitor Hugo assist: Maycon 1-1 90+1'
T. Borbas 2-1 90+7'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Atlético Mineiro Atlético Mineiro 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 Santos Santos
1 Gabriel Delfim
2 Natanael 3 Léo Duarte 14 Vitor Hugo 36 Kauã Pascini
15 Kevin Castaño 21 Alan Franco 5 Alexsander
30 Victor Hugo 18 Thiago Borbas 17 Igor Gomes
9 Gabriel Barbosa
8 Gabriel Bontempo 32 Benjamín Rollheiser 7 Everton Cebolinha
48 Gustavinho 28 Christian Oliva
23 Rodinei 4 Lucas Veríssimo 15 Willian Arão 31 Gonzalo Escobar
1 Diogenes
Atlético Mineiro bench
  1. 27Alan Minda
  2. 29Cauã Campos Soares
  3. 92Dudu
  4. 13Lyanco
  5. 39Mamady Cissé
  6. 8Maycon
  7. 53Pedro Tocantins
  8. 19Reinier
  9. 6Renan Lodi
  10. 31Robert Alves
  11. 40Vitão
  12. 23Ángelo Preciado
Santos bench
  1. 17Gustavo Caballero
  2. 18Igor Vinícius
  3. 34João Paulo
  4. 5João Schmidt
  5. 45Lima
  6. 14Luan Peres
  7. 30Miguelito
  8. 11Philippe Coutinho
  9. 33Rony
  10. 81Samuel Mendes
  11. 16Thaciano
  12. 22Álvaro Barreal

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
50%Possession50%
21Shots10
5Shots on target3
12Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
18Shots inside box5
3Shots outside box5
126Attacks99
50Dangerous attacks35
12Corners3
1Offsides3
10Fouls12
3Yellow cards5
2Saves4
549Passes553
483Accurate passes479
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
Atlético MineiroAtlético MineiroSantosSantosThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Atlético Mineiro and Santos met on matchday 30 of the Serie A on 11 October at MRV Arena. Final score — 2:1.

Atlético Mineiro sit 7th on 47 points after 32 matches (14 wins, 8 draws, 10 losses), 8 matches without conceding. Santos sit 8th on 42 points after 32 matches (12 wins, 10 draws, 10 losses), 6 matches without conceding.

Of the last 2 meetings Atlético Mineiro won 0, Santos won 1, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 1:2.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Atlético Mineiro Atlético Mineiro last five Santos Santos
LWWDW form DWLDW
32 Matches 32
14 — 8 — 10 Wins — draws — defeats 12 — 10 — 10
44 — 38 Scored — conceded 49 — 47
1.56 Points per game 1.44
1.38 Goals scored per game 1.53
8 Clean sheets 6
9 Failed to score 3
winless in 1 Current streak unbeaten in 2

Atlético Mineiro at home: 16 matches, 10 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss, goals 27—17, 2.19 points per match.

Santos away: 16 matches, 6 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses, goals 26—26, 1.38 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
0 Atlético Mineiro wins 1 draw 1 Santos win goals 1:2 Atlético Mineiro — Santos
11/04/2026 Santos — Atlético Mineiro 1:0 Serie A
14/09/2025 Atlético Mineiro — Santos 1:1 Serie A

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5FluminenseFluminense31149849—3951
6Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro31148942—3550
7BahiaBahia321311845—4050
8SantosSantos3212101049—4746
9São PauloSão Paulo321271337—3643
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino311181239—3641
Full Serie A table