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Atlético Mineiro — Fluminense, 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC : score 3:1

match finished Serie A · Matchday 27 Saturday 12 September · 19:00 UTC
MRV Arena · referee M. Delgado
Match predictionValue

Fluminense will not reach three goals

90% · Fluminense games average 2.8 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Fluminense will not reach three goals”, and the match finished 3:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Atlético Mineiro 43% draw 25% Fluminense 32%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Atlético Mineiro win, and the match finished 3:1. Fans backed Atlético Mineiro win — they got it right.

fans 63 votes
Atlético Mineiro 55% draw 16% Fluminense 29%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
A. Franco 19'
Otavio 52'
Reinier assist: Cuello 1-0 61'
Hercules for L. Acosta 61'
K. Serna for A. Canobbio 61'
Cuello 2-0 63'
Maycon for A. Franco 65'
M. Cisse for K. Castano 65'
R. Castillo 69'
Gustavo Scarpa for Bernard 70'
Igor Gomes for Cuello 70'
PH Ganso for Otavio 72'
Riquelme Felipe for J. Savarino 72'
M. Cassierra for Reinier 78'
Vitao assist: M. Cassierra 3-0 81'
R. Castillo assist: K. Serna 3-1 90'
Jemmes for Julio Fidelis 90+1'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Atlético Mineiro Atlético Mineiro 4-2-3-1 · Eduardo Dominguez 4-4-2 · Marcao Fluminense Fluminense
1 Gabriel Delfim
2 Natanael 40 Vitão 14 Vitor Hugo 36 Kauã Pascini
21 Alan Franco 15 Kevin Castaño
28 Tomás Cuello 7 Fred 11 Bernard
19 Reinier
19 Rodrigo Castillo 32 Luciano Acosta
17 Agustín Canobbio 94 Otávio 16 Nonato 11 Jefferson Savarino
46 Júlio Fidelis 21 Igor Rabello 22 Juan Pablo Freytes 13 Guilherme Arana
1 Fábio
Atlético Mineiro bench
  1. 27Alan Minda
  2. 5Alexsander
  3. 92Dudu
  4. 10Gustavo Scarpa
  5. 17Igor Gomes
  6. 13Lyanco
  7. 39Mamady Cissé
  8. 9Mateo Cassierra
  9. 8Maycon
  10. 6Renan Lodi
  11. 31Robert Alves
  12. 23Ángelo Preciado
Fluminense bench
  1. 10Ganso
  2. 35Hércules
  3. 44Jemmes
  4. 29Julián Millán
  5. 90Kevin Serna
  6. 8Martinelli
  7. 6Renê
  8. 28Riquelme Felipe
  9. 41Ruan Sales
  10. 98Vitor Eudes
  11. 34Wesley Natã

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
48%Possession52%
15Shots9
7Shots on target3
3Shots off target5
5Blocked shots1
6Shots inside box4
9Shots outside box5
102Attacks99
44Dangerous attacks25
5Corners2
2Offsides0
8Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
2Saves5
495Passes536
433Accurate passes473
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
Atlético MineiroAtlético MineiroFluminenseFluminenseThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense met on matchday 27 of the Serie A on 12 September at MRV Arena. Final score — 3:1.

Atlético Mineiro sit 7th on 39 points after 26 matches (11 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses), 6 matches without conceding. Fluminense sit 5th on 45 points after 27 matches (12 wins, 9 draws, 6 losses), 5 matches without conceding.

Of the last 2 meetings Atlético Mineiro won 0, Fluminense won 2. Aggregate score — 0:4.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Atlético Mineiro Atlético Mineiro last five Fluminense Fluminense
WLWDW form LWDWW
26 Matches 27
11 — 6 — 9 Wins — draws — defeats 12 — 9 — 6
35 — 31 Scored — conceded 41 — 35
1.5 Points per game 1.67
1.35 Goals scored per game 1.52
6 Clean sheets 5
9 Failed to score 3
unbeaten in 1 Current streak winless in 1

Atlético Mineiro at home: 12 matches, 7 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, goals 22—15, 2.08 points per match.

Fluminense away: 13 matches, 2 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses, goals 17—21, 0.92 points per match.

Head-to-head

2 matches in our database
0 Atlético Mineiro wins 0 draws 2 Fluminense wins goals 0:4 Atlético Mineiro — Fluminense
21/03/2026 Fluminense — Atlético Mineiro 1:0 Serie A
04/10/2025 Fluminense — Atlético Mineiro 3:0 Serie A

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4BahiaBahia271210542—3346
5FluminenseFluminense27129641—3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro26126838—3742
7Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro26116935—3139
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937—3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032—2936
Full Serie A table