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Athletico Paranaense — Atlético Mineiro, 8 October 2026, 23:00 UTC : score 2:2

match finished Serie A · Matchday 29 Thursday 8 October · 23:00 UTC
Arena da Baixada · referee R. Abatti
Match predictionSafe

The sides to finish within two goals

89% · Atlético Mineiro are unbeaten in 5 games

Prediction landed. We predicted “The sides to finish within two goals”, and the match finished 2:2.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Athletico Paranaense 47% draw 27% Atlético Mineiro 26%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Athletico Paranaense win, and the match finished 2:2. Fans backed Athletico Paranaense win — they got it wrong.

fans 36 votes
Athletico Paranaense 63% draw 13% Atlético Mineiro 24%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
K. A. Calderon Vargas assist: Gilberto 1-0 8'
Bernard 1-1 27'
Victor Hugo for Fred 38'
Claudinho for Gilberto 62'
Leozinho for Joao Cruz 62'
Cuello 67'
K. Castano for M. Cisse 68'
T. Perez for Maycon 68'
K. Castano 74'
T. Perez 74'
T. Borbas for Reinier 76'
Igor Gomes for Bernard 76'
B. Zapelli for Luiz Gustavo 81'
J. Rivaldo for C. Teran 81'
K. Viveros 2-1 90+3'
Lyanco assist: T. Borbas 2-2 90+7'
Gilberto Junior for S. Mendoza 90'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Athletico Paranaense Athletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 Atlético Mineiro Atlético Mineiro
1 Mycael
4 Arthur Dias 22 Carlos Terán 37 Lucas Esquivel
12 Gilberto 16 Jádson 14 Luiz Gustavo 7 Steven Mendoza
18 Kerwin Vargas 8 João Cruz
9 Kevin Viveros
28 Tomás Cuello 19 Reinier 11 Bernard
7 Fred 8 Maycon 39 Mamady Cissé
2 Natanael 40 Vitão 13 Lyanco 6 Renan Lodi
1 Gabriel Delfim
Athletico Paranaense bench
  1. 10Bruno Zapelli
  2. 47Chiqueti
  3. 26Claudinho
  4. 63Diogo Riquelme
  5. 53Dudu
  6. 5Felipinho
  7. 2Gilberto Junior
  8. 19Jorge Rivaldo
  9. 21Leozinho
  10. 3Léo
  11. 70Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
  12. 23Santos
Atlético Mineiro bench
  1. 5Alexsander
  2. 92Dudu
  3. 64Guilherme Pires
  4. 17Igor Gomes
  5. 36Kauã Pascini
  6. 15Kevin Castaño
  7. 3Léo Duarte
  8. 31Robert Alves
  9. 18Thiago Borbas
  10. 25Tomás Pérez
  11. 30Victor Hugo
  12. 14Vitor Hugo

Match stats

21 metrics for the full match
51%Possession49%
31Shots15
10Shots on target9
13Shots off target5
8Blocked shots1
17Shots inside box7
14Shots outside box8
93Attacks84
51Dangerous attacks61
10Corners3
0Offsides1
13Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
7Saves8
498Passes487
438Accurate passes425
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties0
Athletico ParanaenseAthletico ParanaenseAtlético MineiroAtlético MineiroThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Athletico Paranaense and Atlético Mineiro met on matchday 29 of the Serie A on 8 October at Arena da Baixada. Final score — 2:2.

Athletico Paranaense sit 4th on 50 points after 32 matches (15 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses), 8 matches without conceding. Atlético Mineiro sit 7th on 47 points after 32 matches (14 wins, 8 draws, 10 losses), 8 matches without conceding.

Of the last 1 meeting Athletico Paranaense won 0, Atlético Mineiro won 1. Aggregate score — 1:2.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Athletico Paranaense Athletico Paranaense last five Atlético Mineiro Atlético Mineiro
DLWDW form LWWDW
32 Matches 32
15 — 9 — 8 Wins — draws — defeats 14 — 8 — 10
50 — 38 Scored — conceded 44 — 38
1.69 Points per game 1.56
1.56 Goals scored per game 1.38
8 Clean sheets 8
7 Failed to score 9
unbeaten in 1 Current streak winless in 1

Athletico Paranaense at home: 16 matches, 9 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses, goals 27—15, 2 points per match.

Atlético Mineiro away: 16 matches, 4 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses, goals 17—21, 0.94 points per match.

Head-to-head

1 match in our database
0 Athletico Paranaense wins 0 draws 1 Atlético Mineiro win goals 1:2 Athletico Paranaense — Atlético Mineiro
05/04/2026 Atlético Mineiro — Athletico Paranaense 2:1 Serie A

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3CruzeiroCruzeiro321661051—4654
4Athletico ParanaenseAthletico Paranaense32159850—3854
5FluminenseFluminense31149849—3951
6Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro31148942—3550
7BahiaBahia321311845—4050
8SantosSantos3212101049—4746
Full Serie A table