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Arouca — Estrela, 11 October 2026, 19:30 UTC : score 1:0

match finished Primeira Liga · Matchday 8 Sunday 11 October · 19:30 UTC
venue to be confirmed · referee L. Filipe
Match predictionValue

Estrela +1.5

87% · Estrela games average 3.2 goals

Prediction landed. We predicted “Estrela +1.5”, and the match finished 1:0.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Arouca 39% draw 26% Estrela 35%
The model was right

The most likely outcome was Arouca win, and the match finished 1:0. Fans backed Arouca win — they got it right.

fans 41 votes
Arouca 51% draw 15% Estrela 34%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
I. Barbero assist: N. Djouahra 1-0 5'
P. Gozalbez 45+6'
I. Barbero 45+8'
A. Marcus 45+8'
M. Scholze 50'
Pedro Santos for P. Gozalbez 57'
B. Souza for I. Stoica 61'
J. Encada for M. Scholze 61'
Pedro Santos 63'
G. Rukavina for N. Djouahra 65'
D. Nandin for I. Barbero 65'
B. Mansilla for A. Trezza 79'
Lee Hyun-ju for T. Fukui 79'
T. Fukui 81'
E. Pedro Vanga for G. Doue 82'
J. Fontan 88'
Alisson Souza for S. Serra 90+1'
K. Jansson for L. Zvonarek 90+1'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Arouca Arouca 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 Estrela Estrela
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena
28 Tiago Esgaio 15 Javi Sánchez 3 Jose Fontán 18 Orest Lebedenko
6 Espen Van Ee 8 Taichi Fukui
19 Alfonso Trezza 10 Pablo Gozálbez 7 Naïs Djouahra
17 Ivan Barbero
37 Leandro Antonetti
99 Abraham Marcus 14 Lovro Zvonarek 10 Ianis Stoica
78 Santiago Serra 39 Eddy Doué
21 Max Scholze 30 Luan Patrick 5 Stefan Leković 55 Rafa Soares
24 Léo Linck
Arouca bench
  1. 5Boris Popović
  2. 24Brian Mansilla
  3. 4Diogo Monteiro
  4. 23Dylan Nandín
  5. 9Fally Mayulu
  6. 20Gabriel Rukavina
  7. 14Hyun-ju Lee
  8. 1Jakub Vinarčík
  9. 2Leo Shahar
  10. 37Mario Climent
  11. 21Mateo Flores
  12. 89Pedro Santos
Estrela bench
  1. 80Alisson Souza de Jesus
  2. 79Atanas Chernev
  3. 4Bernardo Schappo
  4. 93Bénito
  5. 51Diogo Pinto
  6. 71Emerson Pedro Vanga
  7. 72Henrique Poniewas
  8. 17Jefferson Encada
  9. 6Kevin Höög Jansson
  10. 3Lucas Mincarelli
  11. 49René Mitongo
  12. 28Tom Moustier

Match stats

20 metrics for the full match
37%Possession63%
7Shots11
3Shots on target2
2Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box5
52Attacks142
27Dangerous attacks54
5Corners6
2Offsides3
10Fouls7
5Yellow cards2
2Saves2
344Passes579
264Accurate passes505
0Free kicks0
0Throw-ins0
0Goal kicks0
0Penalties1
AroucaAroucaEstrelaEstrelaThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Arouca and Estrela met on matchday 8 of the Primeira Liga on 11 October. Final score — 1:0.

Arouca sit 5th on 14 points after 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss). Estrela sit 9th on 10 points after 5 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), winless in 3 matches.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Arouca Arouca last five Estrela Estrela
WDLD form LLDWD
4 Matches 5
1 — 2 — 1 Wins — draws — defeats 1 — 2 — 2
4 — 4 Scored — conceded 7 — 9
1.25 Points per game 1
1 Goals scored per game 1.4
2 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 2
unbeaten in 2 Current streak winless in 3

Arouca at home: 2 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 2—2, 1.5 points per match.

Estrela away: 2 matches, 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, goals 3—4, 0.5 points per match.

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara853012—418
5AroucaArouca842211—714
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu842211—1014
7Gil VicenteGil Vicente73226—511
8Sporting BragaSporting Braga73228—811
9EstrelaEstrela724114—1410
Full Primeira Liga table