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Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg, 23 October 2026, 16:30 UTC : score 0:1

match finished Russian Premier League · Matchday 12 Friday 23 October · 16:30 UTC
Akhmat-Arena · referee S. Cheban
Match predictionValue

Neither dry nor wild: one to four goals

87% · Margin of one goal or fewer in 4 of 4 meetings

Prediction landed. We predicted “Neither dry nor wild: one to four goals”, and the match finished 0:1.

the market is chosen by our model: not always the obvious one, but a likely one

our forecast this is how the model saw the match before kick-off
Akhmat Grozny 38% draw 27% Orenburg 35%
The model was wrong

The most likely outcome was Akhmat Grozny win, and the match finished 0:1. Fans backed Akhmat Grozny win — they got it wrong.

fans 38 votes
Akhmat Grozny 44% draw 18% Orenburg 38%
Voting closed at kick-off

Match events

full timeline
D. Rybchinskiy assist: J. Thompson 0-1 38'
M. Konate for K. Shchetinin 52'
D. Khotulev for A. Tataev 60'
G. Guzina 62'
M. Konate 66'
E. Maksuti for M. Bogosavac 67'
M. Sidorov for G. Melkadze 67'
E. Nazarenko for D. Puebla 71'
R. Golybin for D. Rybchinskiy 71'
M. Samorodov for E. Cacintura 77'
A. Lukashov for G. Guzina 83'
A. Kasadzhikov for J. Thompson 83'
A. Lukashov 90+3'

Line-ups

starting eleven and bench
Akhmat Grozny Akhmat Grozny 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 Orenburg Orenburg
1 Vadim Ulyanov
95 Arsen Adamov 6 Kalidou Sidibé 5 Klisman Cake 8 Miroslav Bogosavac
4 Turpal-Ali Ibishev 11 Ismael Silva
7 Lechi Sadulaev 17 Egas Cacintura 10 Kirill Shchetinin
77 Georgiy Melkadze
8 Damián Puebla 30 Gedeon Guzina
10 Jordhy Thompson 78 Ruslan Kul 57 Evgeniy Bolotov 20 Dmitry Rybchinskiy
24 Maxime Sivis 6 Jhon Palacios 5 Aleksey Tataev 26 Emil Tsenov
1 Bogdan Ovsyannikov
Akhmat Grozny bench
  1. 70Abakar Gadzhiev
  2. 87Akhmed Elberdov
  3. 97Aleksey Kasadzhikov
  4. 76Erald Maksuti
  5. 54Kirill Kistenev
  6. 20Maksim Samorodov
  7. 81Maksim Sidorov
  8. 42Manuel Keliano
  9. 13Mohamed Konaté
  10. 71Rasul Mitsaev
Orenburg bench
  1. 35Aleksandr Degtev
  2. 77Andrey Kasadzhikov
  3. 22Anton Lukashov
  4. 38Artem Kasimov
  5. 4Danila Khotulev
  6. 3Danila Vedernikov
  7. 11Egor Nazarenko
  8. 7Jersson González
  9. 80Mikhail Pykhcheev
  10. 63Omar Minatulaev
  11. 27Renat Golybin
  12. 53Vyacheslav Korobov

Match stats

14 metrics for the full match
64%Possession36%
24Shots10
5Shots on target5
12Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box8
8Shots outside box2
5Corners2
0Offsides4
16Fouls28
1Yellow cards2
4Saves5
452Passes260
341Accurate passes147
Akhmat GroznyAkhmat GroznyOrenburgOrenburgThe source gives no per-half split — only totals for the match

How the match went

text generated from our data

Akhmat Grozny and Orenburg met on matchday 12 of the Russian Premier League on 23 October at Akhmat-Arena. Final score — 0:1.

Akhmat Grozny sit 14th on 11 points after 14 matches (3 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses), 3 matches without conceding. Orenburg sit 6th on 16 points after 14 matches (3 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses), 5 matches without conceding.

Of the last 4 meetings Akhmat Grozny won 1, Orenburg won 2, with 1 more meeting drawn. Aggregate score — 4:5.

Season form

all competitions of the season
Akhmat Grozny Akhmat Grozny last five Orenburg Orenburg
WLLLD form LDWDW
14 Matches 14
3 — 5 — 6 Wins — draws — defeats 3 — 8 — 3
16 — 19 Scored — conceded 14 — 14
1 Points per game 1.21
1.14 Goals scored per game 1
3 Clean sheets 5
6 Failed to score 6
unbeaten in 1 Current streak winless in 2

Akhmat Grozny at home: 7 matches, 3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, goals 12—9, 1.57 points per match.

Orenburg away: 7 matches, 1 win, 4 draws, 2 losses, goals 5—7, 1 points per match.

Head-to-head

4 matches in our database
1 Akhmat Grozny win 1 draw 2 Orenburg wins goals 4:5 Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg
05/12/2025 Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg 1:0 Russian Premier League
30/09/2025 Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg 0:1 Russian Cup
22/08/2025 Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny 2:2 Russian Premier League
13/08/2025 Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny 2:1 Russian Cup

League table

after the match
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8BaltikaBaltika1345417—1417
9OrenburgOrenburg1338214—1217
10Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov1336417—2015
11Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny1435616—1914
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816—2613
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1433815—2912
Full Russian Premier League table